On the Fantasy Flex podcast, NFL analysts Sean Koerner and Chris Raybon gave out their favorite players to watch for each game on the slate. These are players worth targeting not just in DFS, but also in the Anytime Touchdown market.
For Super Wild Card Weekend, Koerner and Raybon alternated giving out players for all six games, and what we wound up with were at least two players to bet in each Wild Card Round game this weekend.
As a reminder, Anytime Touchdown markets are volatile and odds are constantly on the move. Therefore, it's important to check out our NFL Prop Projections page before making your bets. Our NFL prop projections are powered by Koerner, the most accurate fantasy football ranker in the industry in 2023 (and 2015-2017, for that matter). There, you can see the best odds for each player as well as the edge based on our projections against the market.
As a reminder, you can catch Fantasy Flex all season long and throughout the playoffs on the Action App or wherever you find your podcasts, and listen to the latest episode below.
Here are Koerner's and Raybon's favorite picks for Sunday's NFL playoff games: Broncos vs. Bills, Packers vs. Eagles, and Commanders vs. Buccaneers.
NFL Player Props: Sunday Wild Card Round Touchdown Picks
  |   |   |
Broncos vs. Bills
| Broncos Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+8.5 -112 | 47.5 -112o / -108u | +340 |
| Bills Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-8.5 -108 | 47.5 -112o / -108u | -440 |
Nate Adkins
Sean Koerner: Nate Adkins is the Broncos' third-string tight end, and Broncos tight ends have been just a wasteland this year in terms of production.
So, why the hell would I be giving him out?
Well, Adkins has had a knack for the occasional troll touchdown this year. He has three on the season on just 14 receptions.
For what it's worth, the Broncos have been using all three of their tight ends pretty evenly, with Adkins' role kind of being that of the red-zone weapon.
Ty Johnson
Sean Koerner: Obviously James Cook is the lead back here, but Ty Johnson usually spells him on passing downs.
That's important in this matchup because the Broncos have been pretty vulnerable to pass-catching backs this year. They've allowed the fourth-most yards and fourth-most receiving touchdowns to running backs this season.
There's also a sneaky quirk here specifically against a back like Johnson in that they are particulary vulnerable on passes to running backs that are 10 or more yards downfield, which are obviously a rare occurrence.
They've allowed the second-most yards on those passes and that's Johnson's specialty. He leads the league with nine targets 10+ yards downfield, and his 153 yards on the season are actually twice as much as any other running back.
| | |
Packers vs. Eagles
| Packers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+5.5 -115 | 45.5 -108o / -112u | +190 |
| Eagles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-5.5 -105 | 45.5 -108o / -112u | -230 |
Dontayvion Wicks
Chris Raybon: There's no Christian Watson for the Packers this week, and that usually leads to Dontayvion Wicks seeing about a 75-80% route run rate, compared to his season-long mark, which is closer to 45%.
I expect the Packers to be trailing in this game, so I expect Wicks to be out there a good amount, and his number from a value standpoint makes him more attractive than some of their more obvious picks like Josh Jacobs or Tucker Kraft.
I also considered someone like Bo Melton or Malik Heath here, but the market is surprisingly overvaluing them, making Wicks the obvious pick.
Saquon Barkley 2+ TDs
Chris Raybon: The Eagles are generally an overvalued team in the touchdown market and I'm not showing value on a single player on this team in terms of an Anytime Touchdown bet.
However, I'm showing value on Saquon Barkey here for 2+ touchdowns, which I make close to +300.
He has six multi-touchdown games already this season, and while Jalen Hurts is a big threat to his red-zone carries, with Hurts coming back from a concussion they may not want to subject him to his normal load of carries or "tush push" opportunities.
Even still, five of Barkley's multi-touchdown games came with Hurts under center, and the sixth was the game Hurts left early with injury.
| | |
Commanders vs. Buccaneers
| Commanders Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3 -105 | 50.5 -112o / -108u | +142 |
| Buccaneers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3 -115 | 50.5 -112o / -108u | -170 |
Austin Ekeler
Sean Koerner: Austin Ekeler was able to return last week after missing more than a month.
This is a matchup where the Commanders are more likely to be trailing, which means a pass-heavy game script and an uptick in playing time for him in a role in which he's been very efficient this year.
The Bucs are still dealing with injuries in their secondary which could help Ekeler in the passing game or on an explosive run where he gets to the second level.
I like his upside based on this matchup.
Baker Mayfield
Sean Koerner: Baker Mayfield is coming off of a game where he ran nine times for 68 yards, and he's clearly more willing to run and use his legs in these must-win games like we saw last week.
If you watch that game, he was constantly seeking contact, getting into Saints players' faces, getting fired up, and I think he's going to keep that up this week.
So I think if the Bucs get into a goal-to-go situation, if his first couple of reads aren't there, he's going to be more willing to pull the ball down, put his body on the line, and try to get in for the score.
He has three rushing scores on the season, and I think the way he's been operating in these must-win games make his scrambling upside much higher and gives him value.
