We used our Bet Labs model — which simulates the rest of the season 10,000 times — to rank every team's chances of making the playoffs.
We'll dig into the full results below, but first, here are a few takeaways:
- The Browns beat the Ravens, 40-25, to draw even in the AFC North. Cleveland now as a 46.26% chance to win the division and a 59.49% chance to make the playoffs.
- Daniel Jones led the Giants to their second win. New York's chances continue to improve, with now a 17.37% to make the postseason.
- Jameis Winston's standout performance in the Buccaneers' shocking 55-40 road win over the Rams boosted Tampa Bay's postseason odds to 21.67%.
Now for the 1-32 rankings. We'll also highlight every team's chances of winning the Super Bowl as well as their division.
Note: These simulation results are as of Monday morning.
2019 NFL Playoff Rankings
1. New England Patriots
- Chance to make playoffs: 99.57%
- Chance to win division: 97.54%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 31.59%
2. Kansas City Chiefs
- Chance to make playoffs: 96.54%
- Chance to win division: 86.39%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 13.31%
3. Los Angeles Rams
- Chance to make playoffs: 69.79%
- Chance to win division: 42.06%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 8.72%
4. New Orleans Saints
- Chance to make playoffs: 67.87%
- Chance to win division: 57.67%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 7.41%
5. Seattle Seahawks
- Chance to make playoffs: 63.51%
- Chance to win division: 34.60%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 5.56%
6. Dallas Cowboys
- Chance to make playoffs: 60.65%
- Chance to win division: 50.01%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 4.03%
7. Green Bay Packers
- Chance to make playoffs: 59.73%
- Chance to win division: 43.60%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 4.52%
8. Cleveland Browns
- Chance to make playoffs: 59.49%
- Chance to win division: 46.26%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 1.31%
9. Baltimore Ravens
- Chance to make playoffs: 57.99%
- Chance to win division: 41.93%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 2.00%
10. Chicago Bears
- Chance to make playoffs: 57.80%
- Chance to win division: 36.17%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 5.00%
11. Houston Texans
- Chance to make playoffs: 57.69%
- Chance to win division: 42.55%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 1.87%
12. Los Angeles Chargers
- Chance to make playoffs: 52.52%
- Chance to win division: 12.58%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 1.75%
13. Philadelphia Eagles
- Chance to make playoffs: 52.30%
- Chance to win division: 40.49%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 3.97%
14. Buffalo Bills
- Chance to make playoffs: 47.84%
- Chance to win division: 2.43%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.41%
15. San Francisco 49ers
- Chance to make playoffs: 46.61%
- Chance to win division: 23.18%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 3.09%
16. Indianapolis Colts
- Chance to make playoffs: 38.72%
- Chance to win division: 27.11%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.63%
17. Tennessee Titans
- Chance to make playoffs: 35.73%
- Chance to win division: 19.48%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.66%
18. Carolina Panthers
- Chance to make playoffs: 30.40%
- Chance to win division: 20.45%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 1.39%
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Chance to make playoffs: 21.67%
- Chance to win division: 15.49%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.77%
20. Detroit Lions
- Chance to make playoffs: 21.64%
- Chance to win division: 11.41%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.43%
21. Jacksonville Jaguars
- Chance to make playoffs: 20.54%
- Chance to win division: 10.86%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.13%
22. Minnesota Vikings
- Chance to make playoffs: 20.45%
- Chance to win division: 8.82%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.81%
23. New York Giants
- Chance to make playoffs: 17.37%
- Chance to win division: 9.30%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.34%
24. Pittsburgh Steelers
- Chance to make playoffs: 11.69%
- Chance to win division: 6.86%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.08%
25. Oakland Raiders
- Chance to make playoffs: 9.39%
- Chance to win division: 0.76%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.08%
26. Atlanta Falcons
- Chance to make playoffs: 9.32%
- Chance to win division: 6.39%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.32%
27. Cincinnati Bengals
- Chance to make playoffs: 7.69%
- Chance to win division: 4.95%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.07%
28. New York Jets
- Chance to make playoffs: 2.70%
- Chance to win division: 0.03%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.01%
29. Denver Broncos
- Chance to make playoffs: 1.90%
- Chance to win division: 0.27%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.03%
30. Arizona Cardinals
- Chance to make playoffs: 0.50%
- Chance to win division: 0.16%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.01%
31. Washington Redskins
- Chance to make playoffs: 0.39%
- Chance to win division: 0.20%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.01%
32. Miami Dolphins
- Chance to make playoffs: 0.00%
- Chance to win division: 0.00%
- Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.01%
