Steelers vs Bills Odds & Picks: NFL Wild Card Player Props, Best Bets
| Steelers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Line | Total | Moneyline |
-10 -110 | 38.5 -110o / -110u | +390 |
| Bills Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Line | Total | Moneyline |
+10 -110 | 38.5 -110o / -110u | -525 |
Steelers vs Bills Pick
It's really hard to see Pittsburgh's offense putting up many points. The offense can't attack Buffalo's deep vulnerabilities in the weather, it's not particularly aggressive, and the Steelers are way worse in the first half and could get buried early.
Buffalo should win in the trenches, always key but especially in a low-total weather game. The Bills should run the ball and score against a Steelers defense that's typically dreadful without Watt (see above). Buffalo has found a power run game late in the season with James Cook taking on a bigger role, and this sort of game is exactly when that will come in handy. Cook and Josh Allen should control the game with a power rushing attack, and Allen can throw into the wind if needed too with his big arm.
Buffalo has also cut turnovers under the new coordinator, and it's hard to see Pittsburgh competing without some goofy Allen turnovers. The Bills have five double-digit wins this year, all by at least 21 points. Buffalo wins comfortably often, with 31 of the last 44 Bills wins coming by double digits (71%). This is a high line, especially with such a low total, but I just don't expect Buffalo to struggle at all here.
Pick: Bills -10
NFL Playoffs Best Bet
By Blake Krass
For anyone afraid to lay this big of a number in the postseason: Since 2010, double-digit favorites in the NFL playoffs are 11-4 ATS. Also, to the Mike Tomlin as a 'dog crowd (of which I have often been a member), the last time these teams faced off in the 2022 regular season, the Bills steamrolled the Steelers by the score of 38-3.
The Bills are more talented than the Steelers on offense, and without Watt, the Steelers defense isn't the same.
Pick: Bills -10
Steelers vs Bills Player Props
Pittsburgh Defense/ST
Anytime TD (+1000)
A classic Buffalo game is coming and no, I don’t mean offensive fireworks and lots of passing. I’m talking about cold, dreadful weather where it’s miserable to play football and you question why you chose to live there.
While games in these conditions can be entertaining, they don’t lend themselves well to betting Anytime TDs. With 25 mph sustained winds, throwing the ball could prove to be difficult and almost make TDs non-existent. That being said, the angle I like is Defensive and Special Teams for both squads.
For the Steelers, this feels like a no-brainer because even if the conditions are windy, Josh Allen is still going to throw — he had 19 interceptions this season. The Steelers had a 2.9% INT rate per dropback and 80 passes defended this season, both top-10 marks. This might be the Steelers' only way to score. With their luck/voodoo/magic or whatever you want to call it, I’d rather bank on that than Mason Rudolph making plays.
Pick: Pittsburgh Defense/ST Anytime TD (+1000)
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