Super Bowl 55 Odds Tracker: Biggest Risers & Fallers After NFL Free Agency Frenzy

Super Bowl 55 Odds Tracker: Biggest Risers & Fallers After NFL Free Agency Frenzy article feature image
Credit:

Wesley Hitt/Getty Images. Pictured: Tom Brady

The initial wave of NFL free agency has had ripple effects throughout the league, including on Super Bowl odds.

The leaders in the clubhouse remain the same with the Chiefs (+600), Ravens (+750) and 49ers (+900) the only three teams with odds better than +1000. But there have been some significant risers and fallers since teams started dealing and free agents started signing.

The biggest risers were the Buccaneers, whose odds have shot up from +5000 to +1800 following the news that Tom Brady intends to sign with Tampa Bay. And of course at the other end of that are the Patriots, who saw their odds fall from +1400 to +1800.

Below we've outlined the latest odds for all 32 teams in order of which got the biggest boost from their moves to which have seen theirs dip the most since the new league year started on Monday.


Current odds as of Thursday afternoon and via DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.


Super Bowl 55 Odds Tracker

Before digging into the odds by biggest risers to fallers, here's a quick snapshot of how Super Bowl 55 odds have evolved since opening.

Super Bowl 55 Odds After NFL Free Agency

Note: Ordered from biggest risers to fallers in terms of the difference in implied probabilities between pre- and post-free agency odds.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +1800 (5.26% implied probability)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +5000 (2%)
  • Difference: +3.26%

San Francisco 49ers

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +900 (10%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +1000 (9.09%)
  • Difference: +0.91%

Buffalo Bills

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +2800 (3.45%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +3500 (2.78%)
  • Difference: +0.67%

Baltimore Ravens

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +750 (11.76%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +800 (11.11%)
  • Difference: +0.65%

Indianapolis Colts

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +2800 (3.45%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +3300 (2.94%)
  • Difference: +0.51%

Arizona Cardinals

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +5000 (2%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +6600 (1.49%)
  • Difference: +0.51%

Denver Broncos

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +4000 (2.44%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +5000 (2%)
  • Difference: +0.44%

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +4000 (2.44%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +5000 (2%)
  • Difference: +0.44%

Miami Dolphins

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +8000 (1.23%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +10000 (1%)
  • Difference: +0.23%

Carolina Panthers

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +7000 (1.41%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +7000 (1.41%)
  • Difference: 0%

Chicago Bears

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +4000 (2.44%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +4000 (2.44%)
  • Difference: 0%

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +10000 (1%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +10000 (1%)
  • Difference: 0%

Cleveland Browns

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +3300 (2.94%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +3300 (2.94%)
  • Difference: 0%

Dallas Cowboys

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +1800 (5.26%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +1800 (5.26%)
  • Difference: 0%

Detroit Lions

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +6600 (1.49%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +6600 (1.49%)
  • Difference: 0%

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +600 (14.29%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +600 (14.29%)
  • Difference: 0%
Getty Images. Pictured: Patrick Mahomes

Las Vegas Raiders

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +4000 (2.44%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +4000 (2.44%)
  • Difference: 0%

New York Giants

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +6600 (1.49%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +6600 (1.49%)
  • Difference: 0%

New York Jets

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +7000 (1.41%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +7000 (1.41%)
  • Difference: 0%

Seattle Seahawks

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +2000 (4.76%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +2000 (4.76%)
  • Difference: 0%

Washington Redskins

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +10000 (0.99%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +10000 (0.99%)
  • Difference: 0%

Tennessee Titans

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +3000 (3.23%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +2800 (3.45%)
  • Difference: -0.22%

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +10000 (0.99%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +8000 (1.23%)
  • Difference: -0.24%

Philadelphia Eagles

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +1800 (5.26%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +1700 (5.56%)
  • Difference: -0.30%

Green Bay Packers

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +2200 (4.35%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +2000 (4.76%)
  • Difference: -0.41%

Atlanta Falcons

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +4000 (2.44%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +3300 (2.94%)
  • Difference: -0.50%

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +2800 (3.45%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +2200 (4.35%)
  • Difference: -0.9%

Los Angeles Rams

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +2800 (3.45%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +2200 (4.35%)
  • Difference: -0.9%

Minnesota Vikings

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +2500 (3.85%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +2000 (4.76%)
  • Difference: -0.91%

Houston Texans

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +5000 (1.96%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +3300 (2.94%)
  • Difference: -0.98%

New Orleans Saints

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +1400 (6.67%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +1200 (7.69%)
  • Difference: -1.02%

New England Patriots

  • Current Super Bowl Odds: +1800 (5.26%)
  • Pre-Free Agency Odds: +1400 (6.67%)
  • Difference: -1.41%
About the Author
Katie is the Managing Editor at Action, where she helps oversee the NFL and fantasy football verticals. Her most profitable betting strategy is tailing Sean Koerner (before ultimately losing her winnings on first touchdown props).

Follow Katie Richcreek @katiesrichcreek on Twitter/X.

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