It’s no coincidence that the Chiefs and Eagles have been graced with MVP-caliber quarterback play this season. The signal callers will be the focus of my first Chiefs vs. Eagles props and picks.
For the big game, all eyes will be on Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts, so it feels fitting to start off my Super Bowl player props card with the two signal-callers.
| Prop | Patrick Mahomes SGP: 250+ Passing Yards & Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-131) |
| Matchup | Chiefs vs. Eagles |
| Day/Time | Sunday, Feb. 12, 6:30 p.m. ET |
| Best Book | FanDuel |
On the Chiefs side, I’ll be backing the quarterback in the more traditional sense than I will Hurts.
Mahomes cleared this dual-line in nine of 16 full regular-season games and in nine of 12 career playoff games he played fully. His ankle injury didn’t seem to impede him much on his way to 326 passing yards and two touchdowns against the Bengals in the AFC Championship Game.
Yes, the Eagles pass defense is really good statistically. However, they’ve notably had a schedule that hasn't featured most of the NFL’s top passing offenses. Philly’s vaunted pass rush will also be facing off against a Chiefs offensive line that ranked first in pass blocking win rate at 75%, per Next Gen Stats.
While this is a bet on the brilliance of Mahomes, it’s equally banking on Andy Reid and the Chiefs coaching staff. With two full weeks to prepare, I trust Reid to cook up a masterful offensive game plan that rests on the right arm of his signal caller.
Pick: PropBetGuy's Mahomes Same-Game Parlay |
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| Prop | Jalen Hurts Over 10.5 Rush Attempts (+105; Play to -120) |
| Matchup | Chiefs vs. Eagles |
| Day/Time | Sunday, Feb. 12, 6:30 p.m. ET |
| Best Book | BetMGM |
For one final time this season, I’m banking on Hurts to look to make things happen on the ground.
Before suffering a shoulder injury, Hurts cleared this line in half of his games (seven of 14). Since returning to the lineup, Hurts has nine, nine and 11 rush attempts in three mostly non-competitive games.
Breaking it down further, Hurts eclipsed 10.5 rush attempts in six of nine games pre-injury that were decided by 14 or fewer points. The Super Bowl is inarguably the biggest stage in sports, so I expect Hurts and the Eagles to treat this as a close game, regardless of whether the scoreboard dictates it.
More importantly, it’s a plus matchup for Hurts’ rushing potential. The Chiefs allowed the third-most quarterback rush attempts in the regular season, partially due to their pass rushers generating QB pressure at the league’s fifth-highest rate.
Whether it’s via the scramble or designed runs, I have Hurts projected at 12 rush attempts.
Pick: Jalen Hurts Over 10.5 Rush Attempts (-102) |
