For the second installment of Thursday Night Football, which features an NFC battle between the Minnesota Vikings and Philadelphia Eagles, I’m going with a three-leg, correlated same game parlay.
My three picks for the parlay feature a moneyline pick and two player props. Continue reading below for my Vikings vs. Eagles same game parlay breakdown.
Eagles
Moneyline (-270)
Let’s start with the overarching leg: I love the Eagles to take care of business at home on a short week.
The reigning NFC champs are dealing with several injuries to key players on their defense. However, their elite pass rush is still intact and should be able to wreak havoc on Kirk Cousins and the Vikings offense — especially if left tackle Christian Darrisaw (questionable) can't play.
Center Garrett Bradbury has already been ruled out, and the Vikings' running game without Dalvin Cook looked uninspiring against the Bucs in Week 1. The Eagles will look to make the Vikings offense one dimensional.
On the flip side, I trust Jalen Hurts and company to shake off the rust against a Vikings defense that’s still looking to find their footing under new defensive coordinator Brian Flores.
T.J. Hockenson
Over 4.5 Receptions (-186)
Since becoming a Viking last season, Hockenson's caught at least five passes in nine of his 11 full games, including in each of Minnesota’s four losses.
In fact, in those losses, Hockenson racked up 38 targets (9.5 per game). Not only are the Vikings one of the more pass-happy teams in the NFL (64.4% pass plays last season; third-highest mark), but Cousins loves looking Hockenson’s way when pressured.
The Eagles' 25.5% pressure rate last season was the second highest in the NFL. Against Minnesota last year, they were able to get to Cousins on 17 of his 50 dropbacks. I expect some quick, high-percentage throws Hockenson’s way to combat the pressure.
Dallas Goedert
25+ Receiving Yards (-490)
The Eagles love to overcorrect on offense, and the most obvious spot is getting Goedert the ball after he was shut out in Week 1.
Last season, with almost the same target competition, Goedert pushed past 25 yards in 10 of his 11 full regular-season games. He did not go back-to-back weeks without seeing at least six targets all season.
With head coach Nick Sirianni lamenting the fact that they were unable to get him the ball against New England, I’m expecting several Goedert-centric plays in the passing game.
The Parlay (+155)
- Eagles Moneyline (-270)
- T.J. Hockenson Over 4.5 Receptions (-186)
- Dallas Goedert 25+ Receiving Yards (-490)
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