Check out tonight's NHL picks and predictions as I share my best bets for Monday, November 11.
Last week’s edition of NHL Best Bets was rough to digest as we came so close, but it’s a new week. On Veteran’s Day, let’s honor those who served with a couple of cash-winning bets.
For tonight, I’ve pointed out two bets that potentially hold betting value.
NHL Best Bets, Predictions, Picks
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our NHL betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 7 p.m. | |
  | 10 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NHL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Stars vs. Penguins Prediction
The odds on this one are a head-scratcher.
For Evgeni Malkin, the odds for 2+ shots are listed at -300, but 3+ shots are at +100. I’ll take my chances on 3+ shots at even odds, considering he’s been hammering shots on goal for the past two weeks.
It’s already been a weird season for Geno, just like it’s been for the Penguins as a whole, but I think they’re starting to come around.
Since Halloween, the Penguins lead the NHL in expected goals with a 62.11 xGF%, and it’s been Malkin who has led the charge. He also leads the team with 5.7 expected goals while ranking second in Corsi (shot attempts) behind Rickard Rakell.
Pittsburgh’s opponent, the Dallas Stars, have had some trouble on the road while lighting it up when home. They’re 2-4 on the road and have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games. Secondly, on the defensive end since Halloween, they’ve been OK with a 2.93 xGA/60.
At +100, I really like Malkin’s odds to hit 3+ shots. He’s registered that number in four out of his last five games, so why not make it a fifth?
Best Bet: Evgeni Malkin 3+ Shots on Goal (+100)
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Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Prediction
The trends point towards Sin City.
Both the Carolina Hurricanes and the Vegas Golden Knights have played exceptional hockey down the stretch, so this has the potential to be a coin flip.
However, I’m rolling with Vegas on this one, primarily because it hasn’t lost at home once this season and the analytics are backing the Knights.
Carolina is among the NHL’s elite, but in recent weeks, play has slipped. This past Saturday against the Avalanche, the Hurricanes blew a 2-0 lead, only to allow six goals in the second half of the game.
Even more so, in the past two weeks, the Canes’ offense is middling, with a 52.47 xGF% compared to Vegas’ 55.87.
Defensively, Carolina’s even worse ranking is 24th in xGA/60 with a 3.36 compared to Vegas’ ninth-best 2.58.
The status of Mark Stone is still a head-scratcher, and who knows what to expect with that. However, the rest of the team is chipping in just fine.
Jack Eichel is playing his tail off, Ivan Barbashev’s a scoring machine, and my favorite under-the-radar player, Pavel Dorofeyev, is performing just like I expected – leading the team in goals.
I’ll take the Golden Knights to continue their red-hot home stand
Best Bet: Vegas Golden Knights ML (+120)
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