USA vs. Finland Picks, Odds, Best Bets | 4 Nations Face-Off Predictions Tonight

USA vs. Finland Picks, Odds, Best Bets | 4 Nations Face-Off Predictions Tonight article feature image
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Photo by Vitor Munhoz/4NFO/World Cup of Hockey via Getty Images. Pictured: Auston Matthews and J.T. Miller.

USA vs. Finland in hockey's 4 Nations Face-Off gets started at 8 p.m. ET tonight at the Bell Centre in Montreal.

While the NHL breaks for this new international tournament, our hockey experts do not, and we've got a couple of bets to recommend on tonight's matchup.

These are our USA vs. Finaland best bets and predictions for the 4 Nations Face-Off tonight, February 13, 2025.

USA vs. Finland Best Bets

Finland Logo
Thursday, Feb. 13
8 p.m. ET
ESPN, ESPN+
USA Logo
Finland Odds
Puck LineTotalMoneyline
+1.5
+114
5.5
-135o / +114u
+280
USA Odds
Puck LineTotalMoneyline
-1.5
-135
5.5
-135o / +114u
-355
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NHL odds here.
DraftKings Logo

Under 6

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By Ryan Sura

I expect a lot of goals in this tournament, but think this is one of the few games I think goes under.

The way people are talking about Finland, they may as well not even show up to the tournament. But the one thing Finland has always done in these tournaments is play fast, defensive, and disciplined hockey.

I know Niko Mikkola, Esa Lindell, Olli Maatta, and Urho Vaakanainen aren’t the most well-known names, but they play the role of defensive defensemen very well.

Maatta has been one of the more underrated defensemen at even strength this season, Lindell is one of the best penalty killers in the NHL right now, and Mikkola has been a force on the back-end for Florida this season.

Juuse Saros has been having one of his worst seasons as a pro with -4 Goals Saved Above Expected for the season, along with a .899 SV%, which is a career-low. But playing for your home country could inspire improved play. That’s what I’m hoping for from Saros in front of a solid defensive team.

Not to mention, the Fins have Aleksander Barkov leading their squad. The best two-way center in the NHL, Barkov will likely be tasked with shutting down the Jake Guentzel-Auston Matthews-Jack Hughes line.

I’m confident in the U.S. defensively and Connor Hellebuyck to limit the Fins to one, maybe two goals. Hellebuyck is having another Vezina-caliber season, with 36 Goals Saved Above Expected, .840% high danger save percentage, and third period save percentage of .917%.

Refs seemed to keep their whistles down in the Canada vs Sweden game, so I imagine it would be the same here. I see a 3-1 finish for the US.

USA Team Total Over 3.5

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By TopCheddarPicks

This USA team is stacked, and while Finland is great up front and has a formidable team, the defense and goaltending lack in that department.

Injuries have not been kind to them, losing their star Miro Heiskanen followed by losing Rasmus Ristolainen, and Jani Hakanpaa. Their D core is now pretty brutal and won’t be easy to stop a high-flying offense like the one they'll see out of the U.S.

The other point is Juuse Saros has not been himself this year. He is having his worst season ever, he is allowing nearly 4 more goals then expected this year and has a sub .900 save percentage.

The U.S. on the other hand should be ready to go. The loss of Quinn Hughes hurts, but their D core is more then good enough to be solid.

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