The second round of the French Open is here with more exciting matches to come!
I’ve found value on two of Wednesday's matchups — Garcia vs Kenin and Yastremska vs Wang.
Read on to find Roland Garros picks for Wednesday, May 29.
Note: Match times are subject to change. Read here for tips on viewing tennis matches and seeing tennis odds.
French Open Open Odds, Picks
Caroline Garcia (-185) vs Sofia Kenin (+140)
6 a.m. ET
Caroline Garcia took down Eva Lys 4-6, 7-5, 6-2 in the opening round. Garcia hit 18 aces, winning 61% of her service points and getting broken four times. The Frenchwoman did win 45% of her return points, breaking six times.
Garcia has a 6-4 mark on clay in 2024, with a solid 134-91 record on the dirt for her career. Garcia plays power tennis by serving big and controlling the baseline with aggressive groundstrokes, especially her forehand. The Frenchwoman moves forward effectively, hitting crisp volleys.
While the clay gives the World No. 23 extra time to set up on her groundstrokes, she's still very erratic, playing overly aggressively and with too-small margins. Garcia's backhand is also a liability.
Sofia Kenin came back to beat Laura Siegemund 4-6, 6-2, 6-2 to open her Roland Garros campaign. Kenin won 63% of her service points, getting broken three times. In addition, the American won 48% of her return points, breaking on six occasions.
Kenin, a former finalist in Paris, has a strong 78-56 career-mark on clay, with a 4-5 record this season. The American anticipates well, absorbing pace and counterpunching successfully. She is mentally tough and a high tennis IQ because she understands point construction and the right shots to hit in a given moment.
Kenin has excellent variety, a well-placed serve (although not huge) and can ramp up the pace on her groundstrokes when she has the opportunity from either wing. The 25-year-old doesn't play with much margin, though.
Garcia has played erratic tennis this season, and Kenin's game is well-suited for taking advantage of this. The American can absorb Garcia's pace and extend rallies by drawing errors from Garcia.
Kenin can also successfully counterpunch when the Frenchwoman attacks. Even when Garcia moves forward, Kenin's excellent precision should shine through on her passing shots.
Kenin also has the variety, placement and court-craft to not allow Garcia to get into a baseline rhythm, which will take Garcia out of her comfort zone, just as she has in the four previous sets that they've played.
Pick: Kenin +3.5 games (-145 via BetMGM)
Dayana Yastremska (-260) vs Yafan Wang (+210)
7 a.m. ET
Dayana Yastremska came back to defeat Ajla Tomljanovic 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 in the first round. Yastremska won 64% of her service points and was only broken twice. The Ukrainian also won 40% of her return points, breaking on three occasions.
Yastremska is 3-3 on clay this year but does have a strong 76-44 career-record on the dirt. Yastremska has a big serve and plays very aggressively from the baseline. The 24-year-old's forehand is particularly potent, but she can hit with excellent pop on her groundstrokes from both wings.
The Ukrainian's court positioning is aggressive in order to take time away from her opponents. While clay gives Yastremska more time to set up her powerful groundstrokes, she can become frustrated by the slow conditions and overhit, which exacerbates her consistency issues.
Yafan Wang beat Maria Timofeeva 6-3, 6-3 in her first match of Roland Garros. Wang won 63% of her service points, getting broken twice. In addition, Wang won 51% of her return points, breaking five times.
Wang is now 2-3 on clay in 2024 but does have a solid 44-37 professional-mark on the surface. The 30-year-old doesn't do anything special but plays solid tennis from both wings, She anticipates well, is decent on defense and hits with precision when she finds an opening. At the same time, Wang's serve isn't a strength, and she doesn't have any big weapons in order to hit through the clay.
Yastremska is much better on clay. Yastremska's overall Elo rating is 99.9 points higher than Wang's, which is a fairly significant difference, but even better, her clay Elo 278.8 points above the Chinese's.
Yastremska should be the one in charge of the baseline, as her serve and groundstrokes are better suited to hit through the clay compared to Wang's. On the dirt, Wang should struggle to rush Yastremska, which is key to reliably forcing errors out of the Ukrainian.
In addition, Wang's clay-court movement isn't a strength, which should be problematic when trying to desperately defend against the 24-year-old's big shots. Wang shouldn't have nearly as much return success in this matchup as she did against Timofeeva.
Pick: Wang to Not win a set (+100 via FanDuel)
