The US Open is off to an amazing start and the action continues Tuesday!
I’ve found value on two of Tuesday's matches: Cocciaretto vs Baindl and Pera vs Bondar.
Read on to find US Open picks and predictions for Tuesday, August 27.
Note: Match times are subject to change. Read here for tips on viewing tennis matches and seeing tennis odds.
US Open Open Odds, Picks
Elisabetta Cocciaretto (-550) vs Kateryna Baindl (+350)
1:00 p.m. ET, Court 13
Elisabetta Cocciaretto last played in Monterrey (hard), losing 6-7(6), 1-6 to Elina Avanesyan in her first match. The Italian fell to 1-3 on hard courts this summer, although her record on hard in 2024 is 11-11. As a professional, Cocciaretto has a strong 58-46 mark on the surface.
Cocciaretto plays solid baseline tennis. She doesn't have huge weapons but can ramp up the pace from her forehand wing and hit smaller targets. In addition, the 23-year-old defends and counterpunches effectively, showcasing great speed around the court and the ability to neutralize her opponents' power. Cocciaretto is solid and gets excellent depth, making it tougher for her opponents to hit through her. And the Italian's fitness allows her to wear her opponents down as the match goes on.
Kateryna Baindl fell in the final round of qualifying to Aleksandra Krunic, 3-6, 3-6, in Monterrey last week. While the Ukrainian does have a strong 240-173 career-record on hard courts, the past couple of seasons have been a struggle. Baindl went 11-13 last season and is just 1-2 this season, with Monterrey her only warmup event on hard.
Baindl can dictate from the baseline with her powerful backhand. However, the 30-year-old veteran has good variety, as well, particularly her drop shot. However, in the past couple of years, Baindl's ability to absorb pace on quicker surfaces has eroded. And she's not quite as physical from the ground as she used to be.
But, Baindl's forehand is the biggest issue. The Ukrainian's forehand leaks errors and she struggles to provide the depth necessary to successfully fend off her opposition, who look to break down that wing.
Cocciaretto plays on hard courts much more often nowadays and is the fitter, more solid player compared to Baindl. The Italian has the most potent shot on the court in her forehand and should dominate in the forehand-to-forehand exchanges against the weakest shot on the court, Baindl's forehand.
Cocciaretto has the defensive skills, rally tolerance and patience on her backhand wing to hold her own during backhand-to-backhand rallies before she can turn the point in her favor.
Finally, the Italian has the speed to track down Baindl's variety.
Pick: Under 19.5 games (-110 via BetMGM)
Bernarda Pera (-182) vs Anna Bondar (+146)
2:15 p.m. ET, Court 12
Bernarda Pera last played in Cincinnati (hard), falling in straight sets to Varvara Gracheva in her opening match. The American currently stands at a solid 14-12 on hard courts this year, having gone 2-2 on the surface this summer. For her career, Pera is 147-137 on hard courts.
Pera is best on clay but adapts her game decently well to hard courts. The 29-year-old has a powerful first serve and dictates from the baseline with her huge, heavy forehand. Pera can play with power from her backhand, as well, just with less consistency. The American positions herself offensively on the court, as well, often allowing her to be the aggressor.
There are times, though, when Pera can become erratic from the ground.
Anna Bondar's only match on hard courts this summer was in Cleveland qualifying, losing 4-6, 4-6 to Elvina Kalieva. The Hungarian is 94-77 as a professional on hard courts and 11-10 in 2024, specifically, on the surface, but she's focused significantly more on clay recently and foregone hard-court preparations.
Bondar has a decent serve, but the 27-year-old's main weapon is her forehand. The Hungarian dictates play from this wing, spreading the court until she gets an error or a shorter ball to put away. With that said, sometimes Bondar can try to go too big on her forehand and overcook her ground-strokes.
Bondar's backhand is unreliable, often spraying errors from this wing, and she has mediocre movement.
Pera has played a few more matches on hard courts recently and matches up well with Bondar. The American should hit her heavy, lefty forehand, the best shot on the court cross-court into Bondar's erratic backhand, the worst shot on the court.
This should lead to plenty of short balls and errors. And Pera's defensive skills are strong enough that she can defend against Bondar's forehand before, eventually, turning the points around.
Finally, Pera's overall Elo rating is 109.7 points higher than Bondar's and her hard-court Elo is 168.2 points above the Hungarian's.
Pick: Pera -2.5 games (-126 via FanDuel)
