Badosa vs Navarro Odds
| Badosa Odds | -128 |
| Navarro Odds | +106 |
| Over/Under | 22.5 (-110 / -122) |
| Time | How to Watch | Tuesday, 12 p.m. ET | ESPN |
| Odds via FanDuel. For tips on how to watch US Open tennis, click here. | |
Paula Badosa had no issues dispatching Yafan Wang 6-1, 6-2 to reach the quarterfinals of the US Open.
Now, Badosa will battle Emma Navarro, who upset Coco Gauff 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 in the round of 16.
Read on for my full Paula Badosa vs Emma Navarro pick and ahead of this US Open quarterfinal.
Badosa's Red-Hot Form Continues
Badosa won 49% of her return points, 63% of her service points and wasn't broken in her victory over Wang. The Chinese allowed Badosa to dictate, with the Spaniard teeing off from the ground. Badosa hit 26 winners against 27 unforced errors for the match.
It was another victory for the 26-year old, who is now is 14-2 during the summer hard court swing. This includes a WTA title in Washington. In addition, Badosa has demonstrated long-term success on hard courts, having a strong 169-96 career-record on the surface.
The Spaniard is hitting her spots on serve and playing with confidence from the baseline. She is stepping into the court and trying to dominate with her forehand, dictating successfully from this wing. Badosa still has patience on court, showcasing strong point construction, but she's hitting with precision and winning the battle of court positioning.
When facing opponents that give Badosa time from the baseline, where she is playing on her terms, the Spaniard has shown herself to be extremely difficult to beat.
The 26-year old is still competent when forced to defend, however. Badosa anticipates well and can neutralize her opponents' attacking groundstrokes. However, the Spaniard is less comfortable from more defensive positions in the court.
Although, it must be said, while Badosa can play offense with her backhand, she is less reliable from that wing.
Navarro Always a Tough Out
Navarro showcased great composure in defeating Gauff for the second straight Slam. The 23-year old won 66% of her service points, 42% of her return points and broke four times. Gauff struggled mightily, hitting 19 double faults, Navarro will want to clean up her 20 winners versus 35 unforced errors.
She is having a breakthrough season, going 51-20 overall in 2024. This includes an impressive 30-10 mark on hard courts this year, as she steadily improves her 76-49 professional-record on the surface.
Navarro doesn't do anything that jumps off of the screen, but she does the little things well. Navarro's foot work is outstanding, she is so patient and constructs points at a high level.
The American has strong variety, a high tennis IQ and anticipates where her opponents are going well. She places the ball well and can hit with power, especially from her forehand wing, when given an opening.
But, Navarro doesn't have outstanding firepower and can get overwhelmed by pace, whether that be in her Wimbledon quarterfinal against Jasmine Paolini or even in her previous event, to an extent, in the Monterrey (hard) semifinals versus Linda Noskova.
Navarro's backhand is especially prone to breaking down under pressure.
Badosa vs Navarro Pick
These two played earlier this season in Rome (clay), with Navarro blitzing Badosa early before the Spaniard eventually figured out Navarro's game and won in three sets.
The only match Badosa struggled in this tournament was in the third round against Elena-Gabriela Ruse. Ruse had the firepower to extract her from the baseline, making her defend often and forcing her to press to try to rip control of the baseline away from Ruse.
However, Navarro is not that type of player.
The American wants to work the ball around the court, keeping points alive and patiently waiting for her opening to strike.
The problem for Navarro is that also gives a confident Badosa more time to find an opportunity to strike as well. And the Spaniard has the biggest weapon on the court in her forehand.
Badosa also has the tennis IQ and skill to effectively target Navarro's backhand, which should be the weakest shot on the court.
Yes, Navarro's point construction and shot selection are strong, but Badosa is in the form that any minor mistake made during the construction of those points will be punished.
Navarro is less comfortable when pushed back behind the baseline and forced to defend too often. To successfully implement her game, she needs to be stationed around the baseline.
Badosa's excellent form should continue in New York.
