Angels vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - August 12, 2023

Angels at Astros

11:15 pm • FOX

Los Angeles Angels

0-0

3 - 11

Houston Astros

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.France			3.83	11-6
T.Anderson			5.43	6-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Angels 0-0	+1.5-133	o9.5-110	+141
Astros 0-2	-1.5+110	u9.5-110	-172

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

August 12, 2023

Daikin ParkHouston

HOU -1.5+110

2.2u

K.Tucker o0.5 RBI+160

0.8u

Bet365 2:27.

K.Tucker o1.5 Total Bases+105

0.53u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/angels-vs-astros-mlb-odds-picks-predictions-august-12-2023

J.France u5.5 Ks-141

He’s under this line in 11/15 starts, with a low swinging strike rate (9.4%, 94th out of 129 pitchers with at least 70 IP). The Angels are K prone, but over the L30 days, they have the lowest called strike rate - they swing a lot, and should be able to make enough contact. Plus, France has reverse splits - only 15% K% vs righties. I anticipate the Angels rolling with 5 today. And this is the third time France has faced LAA - only 5 Ks in 11.1 IP (one really good outing, and one bad outing).

T.Anderson u16.5 Outs-130

Anderson has pretty poor numbers vs the Astros core - really struggled against them three weeks ago (85 pitches in 3 IP). Now the stros are made whole with altuve and yordan back - they’ve been absolutely mashing and I like them to get to Anderson today. Hard to envision the Angels letting Anderson back out a third time through the order if he’s struggled at all.

HOU -150 (F5)

Under 9.5-110

1.1u

Under 9.5-108

0.54u

Bet to -113

HOU -150 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -165

Featured Insight
The Angels have scored 2.4 runs per game while trailing over the last week -- tied for fourth-highest in MLB (93 games). The Astros have allowed 2.3 runs per game while leading over the last week -- tied for ninth-highest in MLB (92 games).

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Featured Insight
Angels have struck out 25% since last season -- highest in MLB. AstrosRPs have a strikeout rate of 28% since last season -- highest in MLB.

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The Astros are 25-17 (.595) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .435.

Kyle Tucker is slugging .510 on breaking pitches since last season -- 10th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Matt Moore has thrown his curveball 32% of the time since last season -- tied for eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 88th Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani has 15 home runs on breaking pitches this season -- tied for most in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Ryan Pressly has thrown a breaking pitch 70% of the time this season -- fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 33% of the time (154/468) on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total CH; League Avg: 10% -- 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 39% of the time (1,385/3,550) against right-handed batters since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 11% (6/54) against J.P. France with runners in scoring position this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 41-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Astros' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19
Angels	82-80	43-38	39-42	11-17	70-61

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24
Angels	74-80-8	37-40-4	37-40-4	10-17-1	62-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22
Angels	63-99	32-49	31-50	9-19	54-77

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 12th	LAA	W 11-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	HOU -179
Aug 10th	@BAL	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9.5	BAL -120
Aug 9th	@BAL	W 8-2	+1.5 W	U 10	HOU +116
Aug 8th	@BAL	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	HOU -125
Aug 6th	@NYY	W 9-7	+1.5 W	O 9.5	HOU +108

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

Mike Trout
OF
Trout is out with knee
Out
Jo Adell
OF
Adell is out with oblique
Out
Jose Soriano
P
Soriano is out with shoulder
Out
Chase Silseth
P
Silseth is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Anderson, P	82	4.2	6	7
RD.Leone, P	10	0.1	1	0
LA. Loup, P	13	1	0	0
RR.Lopez, P	16	1	2	0
RJ. Barria, P	33	1	0	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Rengifo, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2S.Ohtani, DH	1-4	1	0	0
3B.Drury, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
3A. Velazquez, PH	1-1	1	1	1
4M. Moustakas, 3B	0-2	0	0	1
4M. Moustakas, 1B	0-2	0	0	1
4J.Adams, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5C. Cron, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5E. Escobar, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
6M.Moniak, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7H.Renfroe, RF	1-3	1	0	0
8M.Thaiss, C	0-2	0	0	0
9R.Grichuk, LF	1-3	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.France, P	100	7	5	2
RB.Abreu, P	8	1	0	0
RH.Neris, P	15	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	3-4	3	0	1
1M.Dubon, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	2-4	2	0	2
3Y.Alvarez, DH	1-4	2	0	1
4K.Tucker, RF	3-4	1	1	4
5Y.Diaz, C	1-5	0	0	2
6C.McCormick, LF	1-4	1	0	0
7J.Singleton, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Pena, SS	1-3	1	0	0
8G.Kessinger, SS	0-0	0	0	0
9J.Meyers, CF	1-4	1	0	1