Angels vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - August 12, 2023

Angels at Astros

11:15 pm • FOX

Los Angeles Angels

5-6

3 - 11

Houston Astros

5-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.France			3.83	11-6
T.Anderson			5.43	6-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Angels 5-6	+1.5-133	o9.5-110	+141
Astros 5-5	-1.5+110	u9.5-110	-172

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

August 12, 2023

Daikin ParkHouston

HOU -1.5+110

2.2u

LAA +145

0.5u

B.Drury o1.5 Total Bases-110

K.Tucker o1.5 Total Bases+105

0.53u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/angels-vs-astros-mlb-odds-picks-predictions-august-12-2023

K.Tucker o0.5 RBI+160

0.8u

Bet365 2:27.

J.France u5.5 Ks-141

He’s under this line in 11/15 starts, with a low swinging strike rate (9.4%, 94th out of 129 pitchers with at least 70 IP). The Angels are K prone, but over the L30 days, they have the lowest called strike rate - they swing a lot, and should be able to make enough contact. Plus, France has reverse splits - only 15% K% vs righties. I anticipate the Angels rolling with 5 today. And this is the third time France has faced LAA - only 5 Ks in 11.1 IP (one really good outing, and one bad outing).

T.Anderson u16.5 Outs-130

Anderson has pretty poor numbers vs the Astros core - really struggled against them three weeks ago (85 pitches in 3 IP). Now the stros are made whole with altuve and yordan back - they’ve been absolutely mashing and I like them to get to Anderson today. Hard to envision the Angels letting Anderson back out a third time through the order if he’s struggled at all.

HOU -150 (F5)

Under 9.5-110

1.1u

Under 9.5-108

0.54u

Bet to -113

HOU -150 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -165

Featured Insight
The Angels have scored 2.4 runs per game while trailing over the last week -- tied for fourth-highest in MLB (93 games). The Astros have allowed 2.3 runs per game while leading over the last week -- tied for ninth-highest in MLB (92 games).

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Featured Insight
Angels have struck out 25% since last season -- highest in MLB. AstrosRPs have a strikeout rate of 28% since last season -- highest in MLB.

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The Astros are 25-17 (.595) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .435.

Kyle Tucker is slugging .510 on breaking pitches since last season -- 10th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Matt Moore has thrown his curveball 32% of the time since last season -- tied for eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 88th Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani has 15 home runs on breaking pitches this season -- tied for most in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Ryan Pressly has thrown a breaking pitch 70% of the time this season -- fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 33% of the time (154/468) on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total CH; League Avg: 10% -- 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 39% of the time (1,385/3,550) against right-handed batters since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 11% (6/54) against J.P. France with runners in scoring position this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 41-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Astros' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19
Angels	82-80	43-38	39-42	11-17	70-61

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24
Angels	74-80-8	37-40-4	37-40-4	10-17-1	62-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22
Angels	63-99	32-49	31-50	9-19	54-77

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 12th	LAA	W 11-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	HOU -179
Aug 10th	@BAL	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9.5	BAL -120
Aug 9th	@BAL	W 8-2	+1.5 W	U 10	HOU +116
Aug 8th	@BAL	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	HOU -125
Aug 6th	@NYY	W 9-7	+1.5 W	O 9.5	HOU +108

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Taylor Trammell
OF
Trammell is out with calf
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
OF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
P
France is out with shoulder
Out

Anthony Rendon
IF
Rendon is out with hip
Out
Zach Neto
IF
Neto is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Anderson, P	82	4.2	6	7
RD.Leone, P	10	0.1	1	0
LA. Loup, P	13	1	0	0
RR.Lopez, P	16	1	2	0
RJ. Barria, P	33	1	0	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Rengifo, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2S.Ohtani, DH	1-4	1	0	0
3B.Drury, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
3A. Velazquez, PH	1-1	1	1	1
4M. Moustakas, 3B	0-2	0	0	1
4M. Moustakas, 1B	0-2	0	0	1
4J.Adams, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5C. Cron, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5E. Escobar, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
6M.Moniak, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7H.Renfroe, RF	1-3	1	0	0
8M.Thaiss, C	0-2	0	0	0
9R.Grichuk, LF	1-3	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.France, P	100	7	5	2
RB.Abreu, P	8	1	0	0
RH.Neris, P	15	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	3-4	3	0	1
1M.Dubon, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	2-4	2	0	2
3Y.Alvarez, DH	1-4	2	0	1
4K.Tucker, RF	3-4	1	1	4
5Y.Diaz, C	1-5	0	0	2
6C.McCormick, LF	1-4	1	0	0
7J.Singleton, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Pena, SS	1-3	1	0	0
8G.Kessinger, SS	0-0	0	0	0
9J.Meyers, CF	1-4	1	0	1