Angels vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - May 18, 2023

Angels at Orioles

4:35 pm • MLB Network

Los Angeles Angels

7-8

6 - 5

Baltimore Orioles

6-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Wells			3.64	7-6
T.Anderson			5.43	6-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Angels 7-8	+1.5-150	o8.5-110	+140
Orioles 6-8	-1.5+125	u8.5-110	-170

Thursday 4:35 p.m.

May 18, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

BAL -1.5+125

LAA o3.5-118

0.85u

Tailing MLB goats

LAA o3.5-115

0.87u

Tailing @jakevgroup_

LAA o3.5-120

BAL o2.5 (F5)-110

$50.00

Tailing Avery

T.Anderson u17.5 Outs-104

under in 4/7 starts. 5.26 era/5.45 xERA. 10.9% walk rate - more than double last season. BAL 10th in pitches per PA (3.93), and 5th in OPS and wRC+ vs LHP. 3rd in walk rate VS LHP. 11/16 non-opener starting LHP under vs BAL

T.Anderson u4.5 Ks-118

0.85u

Available at FanDuel. Anderson has started to regain some of his form from last year and has hit the over here in two of his past three games (which correlates with a change in his pitch mix). However, one of those games was against the Brewers, who never saw a lefty they couldn't boost in the strikeout department. Today, Anderson gets the Orioles, who hit lefties well and have just a 20.7% strikeout rate against lefties on the current active roster. Anderson may be trending back up, but even last year, he wasn't a high-strikeout guy.

BAL -146

1.3u

Available at FanDuel. My model puts the Orioles' win odds at 64.7%, up from 59.4% implied. Angels starter Tyler Anderson has still been trying to rekindle last year's magic. His results have been better in his past four starts with fewer four-seamers, but the peripherals are still concerning. He has a 5.72 SIERA in that stretch. He's facing an Orioles active roster that has a 126 wRC+ against lefties since the start of last year. When you add in that Tyler Wells has solid underlying numbers on the other side, I'm fine having confidence in the O's here.

BAL -124

0.62u

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The Angels are just 60-47 (.561) when favorites since last season -- 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .603.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Angels	82-80	43-38	39-42	11-17	70-61

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Angels	74-80-8	37-40-4	37-40-4	10-17-1	62-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Angels	63-99	32-49	31-50	9-19	54-77

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 17th	LAA	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	BAL -159
May 16th	LAA	W 7-3	-1.5 W	U 10	BAL -149
May 15th	LAA	L 5-9	+1.5 L	O 7.5	LAA -102
May 14th	PIT	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8	PIT +100
May 13th	PIT	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	BAL -179

Anthony Rendon
IF
Rendon is out with hip
Out
Zach Neto
IF
Neto is out with shoulder
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Anderson, P	88	5	2	3
RA.Wantz, P	13	1	1	0
RC.Devenski, P	16	1	0	2
LM.Moore, P	13	1	0	0
RC.Estevez, P	16	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Moniak, LF	1-3	0	0	0
1T.Ward, PH	0-2	0	0	0
1T.Ward, LF	0-2	0	0	0
2M.Trout, CF	2-4	1	1	2
3S.Ohtani, DH	2-5	1	1	2
4H.Renfroe, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5B.Drury, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
6C. Wallach, C	0-3	0	0	0
6M.Thaiss, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6M.Thaiss, C	0-2	0	0	0
7L.Rengifo, 3B	3-4	2	0	0
7L.Rengifo, 2B	3-4	2	0	0
8Z.Neto, SS	1-4	1	0	1
9L.Soto, 2B	1-1	1	0	0
9G.Urshela, PH	1-2	0	0	1
9G.Urshela, 3B	1-2	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Wells, P	95	5	7	3
RM.Baumann, P	12	0.2	0	1
LC.Perez, P	13	1	0	0
RB.Baker, P	24	0.2	1	2
RA.Voth, P	12	0.1	1	0
LD.Coulombe, P	29	1.1	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Hays, LF	3-4	2	0	0
1C.Mullins, PH	1-1	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, DH	1-3	1	1	2
3R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-4	0	0	1
4A.Santander, RF	1-3	1	1	2
5J.McCann, C	0-4	0	0	0
6R.McKenna, CF	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Mateo, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8G.Henderson, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
9J.Ortiz, 2B	2-2	1	0	0
9A.Frazier, PH	1-2	0	0	0
9A.Frazier, 2B	1-2	0	0	0