Angels vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - September 9, 2024
Angels at Twins
11:40 pm • BSNStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | 4.90 | 2-6 | |
![]() | ![]() | 6.70 | 4-9 |
Angels at Twins Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Angels 1-0 | +1.5-142 | o8-105 | +145 | |
![]() Twins 1-0 | -1.5+120 | u8-115 | -175 |
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Target FieldMinneapolis
Angels vs. Twins Expert Picks
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Picks Office
166d ago
Last 30d: 85-88-2 (-14.3u)
Under 8-115
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Both teams have been victimized of late offensively, and the hitting woes by both the Angels and Twins set up well for a low-scoring affair. In their last 10 games, the Angels have posted a meager .188 batting average, while the Twins aren't far off that with a team average of .196 in the same span. These numbers indicate that major problems are permeating an offense from neither team displaying much in the way of rhyme or reason at the plate. The Angels also sit 27th in runs per game, with 3.92, 28th in team batting average, with a .228 mark, and 29th in OPS, with a .670 mark. Accordingly, hardly would anyone expect the Angels to go in an offensive explosion after being held to four or fewer runs in eight of their last 10 games, particularly against a strong Twins pitching staff. The Twins, though 11th in runs per game on the season, have been shut out twice in their last three and eight of their last 10 games have also seen them score four or fewer runs.
On the mound, Reid Detmers and David Festa aren't top-tier arms but both have flashed promise in recent performances. Detmers went in his last start with 10 Ks against 2 earned runs; add in two decent outings for Festa in which he threw 11 innings, struck out 7 times, and had a 0.95 WHIP to show for improvement. The fact is, both pitchers are in better form than their seasonal averages suggest, and neither offense really has shown signs of being able to exploit the other pitcher's weaknesses. Going forward, both bullpens have performed well recently. The Twins bullpen has been good, posting a 3.32 ERA with a 1.11 WHIP. That WHIP places them among the best in the game at limiting baserunners. This becomes an important aspect of strong bullpen play, which suppresses late-inning scoring opportunities and keeps the games tighter into the later frames.
Recent matchups between these two teams have trended under, and that looks set to continue with both teams struggling offensively and showing improved pitching. Seven of the last 10 games in Minnesota have gone under the total, which also supports a lower-scoring outcome. With the strong Minnesota bullpen, solid WHIP of 1.18 for third in the league, and high strikeout rate-fourth in the league-their D can stymie an already struggling Angels offense. On the other side, the Angels lack much power-25th in home runs-limiting the chances of quick-scoring bursts. Putting it all together, the under is a solid play in this game.
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Top Shelf Action 🥃
166d ago
Last 30d: 533-516-15 (+46.2u)
Under 8-112
1u
.tsa under when home team shutout
Overall: 440-314-42,58% (ROI:12%)
Season:29-24-2,55% (ROI:6%)
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The Degenerates
166d ago
Last 30d: 76-70-4 (-2.9u)
MIN -1.5+116
1u
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Moneyline Hacks
166d ago
Last 30d: 92-46-2 (+84.6u)
D.Festa u5.5 Ks+126
2.52u
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💰🦡 Jake
166d ago
Last 30d: 111-157-1 (-7.9u)
LAA +145 (F5)
1.45u
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Lines at Lunch
166d ago
Last 30d: 71-80-2 (-18.9u)
R.Detmers o16.5 Outs-115
1u
Avery
PRO Insights
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Angels
LAA Insights
- Featured Insight
Angels RPs have a strikeout rate of 35% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB. Twins left-handed hitters have struck out 28% against RHP over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB.
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Twins
MIN Insights
- Featured Insight
Twins RPs have allowed an OPS of just .667 (2,090 PAs) this season -- fifth best in MLB. Angels hitters have an OPS of just .672 this season -- third worst in MLB.
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Angels vs. Twins Previews & Analysis
Angels vs. Twins Notes
Keys to the Game
The Angels are just 29-41 (.414) on the road this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Angels are just 55-39 (.585) when they've hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Matchup Contrasts
Matt Wallner has an OPS of .899 since last season -- 11th best among hitters with at least 456 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. Roansy Contreras has allowed an OPS of .793 (561 PAs) since last season -- 14th worst among qualified RPs-- eighth Percentile.
Brandon Drury has an OPS of just .466 this season -- second worst among hitters with at least 214 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Griffin Jax has allowed an OPS of just .511 (246 PAs) this season -- 13th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .338 (26 GB hits out of 77 GBs) against Reid Detmers this season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .246 -- first Percentile.
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 17% (10/59) against Reid Detmers on curveballs in the 2023 season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 36% -- 100th Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Angels vs. Twins Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Angels vs. Twins Injury Updates
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Angels Injuries
- Mike TroutOF
Trout is out with knee
Out
- Yoan MoncadaIF
Moncada is out with groin
Out
- Jo AdellOF
Adell is out with oblique
Out
- Jose SorianoP
Soriano is out with shoulder
Out
- Chase SilsethP
Silseth is out with elbow
Out
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Twins Injuries
- Jose MirandaIF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
- Trevor LarnachOF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
- Joe RyanP
Ryan is out with triceps
Out
Angels vs. Twins Box Score
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PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 97 | 6 | 8 | 2 | |
![]() | 48 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
![]() | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 66 | 4 | 4 | 4 | |
![]() | 29 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
![]() | 31 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
![]() | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Angels vs. Twins Odds Comparison
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Angels at Twins Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Angels 1-0 | o3.5+105 | u3.5-135 |
![]() Twins 1-0 | o4.5+105 | u4.5-135 |