Astros vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - April 25, 2023

Astros at Rays

10:40 pm • BSSUN

Houston Astros

0-2

5 - 0

Tampa Bay Rays

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Rasmussen			2.62	4-2
L.Garcia			4.00	2-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 0-2	+1.5-141	o7.5-114	+152
Rays 0-0	-1.5+116	u7.5-106	-182

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

April 25, 2023

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

TB -1-120

2.4u

TB -0.5 (F5)-124

0.62u

D.Rasmussen u5.5 Ks-120

Can read my full analysis for this in my player prop piece

HOU +157

L.Garcia u16.5 Outs-123

1.23u

Garcia is under this line in 3/4, but is coming off a great start vs RHH heavy TOR. Garcia struggles with lefties, and TB should be an issue for him. Cash likely starts 5 LHH, and TB’s lefties collectively 2nd best in OPS and wRC+ vs righties. Rays have been swinging more this season, but Garcia is someone whose pitch count rarely gets into the mid 90s. He’s struggled the third time through the order throughout his career.

Over 8+100

HOU +155

0.78u

Bet to +150

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The Astros are 104-2 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .955.

The Astros are just 0-9 (.000) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

The Rays are 4-1 (.800) when allowing 10 or more hits this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .258.

The Rays are 14-0 (1.000) at home this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .494.

Yordan Alvarez had an OPS of just .362 with two strikes over the last 30 days -- eighth worst in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Drew Rasmussen allowed an OPS of just .314 (51 PAs) with two strikes over the last 30 days -- 10th best among qualified SPs-- 89th Percentile.

Yordan Alvarez has an OPS of just .362 with two strikes this season -- eighth worst in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OPS of just .314 (51 PAs) with two strikes this season -- 10th best among qualified SPs-- 89th Percentile.

Drew Rasmussen has a strike rate of 69% (221/320) this season -- 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% -- 95th Percentile.

Drew Rasmussen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .247 (19 Total Bases / 77 ABs) this season -- 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .395 -- 94th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 24th	HOU	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	TB -199
Apr 23rd	CWS	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8	TB -190
Apr 22nd	CWS	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 7	TB -199
Apr 21st	CWS	W 8-7	-1.5 L	O 9	TB -190
Apr 19th	@CIN	W 8-0	-1.5 W	U 9.5	TB -272

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RL.Garcia, P	97	6	7
RP.Maton, P	10	1	0
RR.Montero, P	14	1	1
RR.Pressly, P	11	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Dubon, 2B	2-5	1	0
2J.Pena, SS	2-4	1	1
3K.Tucker, RF	2-5	1	1
4A.Bregman, 3B	0-4	0	0
5J.Abreu, 1B	1-4	1	1
6C.Julks, LF	2-4	1	1
7J.Meyers, CF	2-4	0	1
8D.Hensley, DH	0-4	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Rasmussen, P	94	4.2	5	5
RH. Hembree, P	18	1.1	2	0
LC.Poche, P	12	1	0	0
LJ.Beeks, P	20	1	0	0
RJ.Adam, P	19	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, DH	1-3	0	0	0
2W. Franco, SS	1-4	0	0	0
3R.Arozarena, LF	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Lowe, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5I.Paredes, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6L.Raley, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7T.Walls, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8F. Mejia, C	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Siri, CF	0-2	0	0	0