Athletics vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - August 29, 2023

Athletics at Mariners

1:40 am • ROOT Sports NW

Athletics

6-3

0 - 7

Seattle Mariners

5-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Woo			4.21	4-5
K.Muller			7.60	1-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Athletics 6-3	+1.5+110	o8.5-110	+235
Mariners 5-7	-1.5-135	u8.5-110	-290

Tuesday 1:40 a.m.

August 29, 2023

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

SEA o2.5 (F5)-145

Mariners are scorching hot, have hit this in 7/L8, and Kyle Muller is very bad.

Under 8+100

B. Woo u6.5 Ks-116

1.03u

Available at FanDuel. This is fully a pitch-count-related prop for me. Woo made his first start last week after 19 days on the IL. He went 65 pitches there with no MiLB rehab start. As a result, I have him projected for 80 pitches tonight, which puts his strikeout projection at 4.64. I honestly don't know why this number is so high based on how long he was able to go in last week's game.

K.Muller u5.5 Ks-132

1.3u

Available at FanDuel. Muller is not a high-strikeout guy, which means the matchup here is doing *a lot* of work. That's fair as the Mariners' active roster has a 27.5% strikeout rate against righties, but Muller has gone over this number once the entire season. In his one start against Seattle, he finished with three strikeouts. Granted, he has had a stint in the minors since then, but even Muller's Triple-A strikeout rate is 16.9%. Even with the matchup being what it is, I still have Muller projected for just 3.7 strikeouts tonight.

Featured Insight
Mariners have won 57% of their games this season -- fifth-best in MLB. Athletics have won just 29% of their games this season -- worst.

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Featured Insight
The Athletics have scored just 0.8 runs per game in close and late situations over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB (100 games). The Mariners have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations over the last two weeks -- tied for third-lowest in MLB (101 games).

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MLB NRFI Model Picks For Monday
Billy Ward•
Aug 28, 2023 UTC

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The Mariners are 30-28 (.517) after a win as underdogs since last season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .418.

40% of Ryan Noda strikeouts are looking this season -- 14th highest among hitters with at least 193 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. 46% of Justin Topa strikeouts are looking this season -- fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Shea Langeliers is batting just .224 on fastballs this season -- tied for seventh worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 75% of the time this season -- highest among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of Mariners' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	74-88	38-43	36-45	47-62	26-26
Athletics	86-76	44-37	42-39	9-12	76-64

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	76-76-10	31-45-5	45-31-5	50-55-4	25-21-6
Athletics	78-83-1	39-42	39-41-1	10-11	68-71-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	85-77	49-32	36-45	62-47	23-29
Athletics	69-93	38-43	31-50	13-8	55-85

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 27th	KC	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8	SEA -335
Aug 26th	KC	W 15-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	SEA -265
Aug 26th	KC	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 8	SEA -196
Aug 23rd	@CWS	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9.5	CWS -240
Aug 23rd	@CWS	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	SEA -146

Luis Medina
P
Medina is out with elbow
Out
Ken Waldichuk
P
Waldichuk is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LK.Muller, P		86	4	6	6
RA. Mart��nez, P		65	4	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Noda, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
2Z.Gelof, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
3S.Brown, RF	1-4	0	0	0
4B.Rooker, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5T. Kemp, LF	0-2	0	0	0
5E.Ruiz, PH	0-0	0	0	0
5E.Ruiz, LF	0-0	0	0	0
6S.Langeliers, C	0-3	0	0	0
7L.Butler, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Diaz, 3B	1-2	0	0	0
9N.Allen, SS	1-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RB.Woo, P	69	6	5
LT.Saucedo, P	16	1	1
RI.Campbell, P	14	1	1
RT.Thornton, P	17	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	2-4	3	1	1
2J.Rodriguez, CF	4-5	3	1	3
3E.Suarez, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
4T.Hernandez, RF	2-4	0	0	2
4C.Marlowe, RF	0-1	0	0	0
5T.France, 1B	2-3	0	0	0
6D.Moore, LF	1-3	0	0	1
7D.Canzone, DH	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Caballero, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9B. O'Keefe, C	0-4	0	0	0