Athletics vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - May 26, 2023

Athletics at Mariners

1:40 am • ROOT Sports NW

Athletics

10-6

2 - 3

Seattle Mariners

6-11

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Gilbert			3.73	13-7
J.Sears			4.54	5-14

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Athletics 10-6	+1.5-102	o7.5-105	+210
Mariners 6-11	-1.5-118	u7.5-115	-260

Friday 1:40 a.m.

May 26, 2023

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

OAK u2.5+108

1.08u

L.Gilbert o17.5 Outs-150

1.3u

10/L15 righties have cleared this line vs OAK - they have a wRC+ of 40 and an OPS of .481 over the L2 weeks vs righties… that’s a worse OPS than CC Sabathia has posted in his career as a hitter. Gilbert over in 6/9 starts, and 3/3 at home. And pitch efficiency numbers check out too - Oakland at 3.89 (12th lowest, and below league avg), and Gilbert has been throwing strikes all season (67% - 14th/117).

SEA -1.5-120

0.6u

L.Gilbert u7.5 Ks-136

Gilbert sports a career high 10.9 K/9 but I expect it to regress closer to ~9.2 going forward. His called strike and chase rate coming down will be the main reason. The whiff rate on his 2 main pitches is actually down this year. The As are obviously a plus matchup and I’m projecting their expected 2-7 hitters with a 30%+ K chance for their first AB, but 7.5 is still a bit too high for Gilbert and I’m projecting this closer to -200

J.Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases+120

0.9u

SEA -260

SEA -1.5-120

1.2u

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The Athletics are just 7-9 (.438) when favorites since last season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .603.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of Mariners' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	74-88	38-43	36-45	47-62	26-26
Athletics	86-76	44-37	42-39	9-12	76-64

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	76-76-10	31-45-5	45-31-5	50-55-4	25-21-6
Athletics	78-83-1	39-42	39-41-1	10-11	68-71-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	85-77	49-32	36-45	62-47	23-29
Athletics	69-93	38-43	31-50	13-8	55-85

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 25th	ATH	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	SEA -300
May 24th	ATH	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 9	SEA -225
May 23rd	ATH	W 11-2	-1.5 W	O 8	SEA -325
May 21st	@ATL	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 9.5	ATL -104
May 20th	@ATL	W 7-3	+1.5 W	O 9.5	SEA +112

Luis Medina
P
Medina is out with elbow
Out
Ken Waldichuk
P
Waldichuk is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Sears, P	59	5	1	1
RT. May, P	18	2	2	1
LR.Lovelady, P	13	0.2	1	1
RG. Acton, P	9	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Ruiz, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2R.Noda, 1B	2-4	1	0	0
3B.Rooker, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4S.Brown, RF	1-3	1	1	2
5S.Langeliers, C	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Bleday, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7J. Peterson, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Allen, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9T. Kemp, 2B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Gilbert, P		77	8	6	2
RP.Sewald, P		13	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2T.France, 1B	2-4	3	2	2
3J.Rodriguez, CF	2-4	0	0	0
4J.Kelenic, LF	0-3	0	0	0
5E.Suarez, 3B	0-2	0	0	1
6C.Raleigh, DH	0-4	0	0	0
7T.Hernandez, RF	1-3	0	0	0
8T.Murphy, C	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Caballero, 2B	0-1	0	0	0