Athletics vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - May 23, 2023

Athletics at Mariners

1:40 am • MLB Network

Athletics

0-0

2 - 11

Seattle Mariners

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Castillo			3.34	14-9
K.Muller			7.60	1-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Athletics 0-0	+1.5+130	o8-105	+250
Mariners 0-0	-1.5-150	u8-105	-325

Tuesday 1:40 a.m.

May 23, 2023

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

K.Muller u15.5 Outs-125

MGM. Under in 7/9, with a baseball savant page that’s littered in blue. Opponents are 21/35 the third way through (not a typo) - he’s been pulled for ineffectiveness (72 pitches in his last start) - I expect a short leash tonight. Plus, he’s an inefficient pitcher vs a team that will take walks.

T.Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases+115

0.5u

T.Hernandez o0.5 HR+400

0.1u

L.Castillo u7.5 Ks+110

Available at FanDuel. My numbers are high on Castillo, projecting him for 6.9 strikeouts tonight. But this number is massive, and we get plus money on the under. In eight starts since cutting back on his sinker usage, Castillo has hit the over here in three of eight starts, and all of them have come in five starts at home. That's why this number is so high -- it's deserved. But there are always paths to an under on such a lofty number. It won't be a fun sweat, but I do think this is the right way to play this one.

K.Muller u4.5 Ks-118

0.85u

Available at FanDuel. The Mariners strike out a bunch against lefties, which is why this number is high. But even accounting for that, I've got Muller projected for 3.44 strikeouts, well below the 5 he'd need to hit the over here. In nine starts, Muller has hit the over on this number just twice (and he had three or fewer in all of the unders). He could spike here in a high-strikeout spot, but I think the matchup is fully baked into the number.

Over 7.5-110

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The Athletics are just 7-9 (.438) when favorites since last season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .603.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of Mariners' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	74-88	38-43	36-45	47-62	26-26
Athletics	86-76	44-37	42-39	9-12	76-64

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	76-76-10	31-45-5	45-31-5	50-55-4	25-21-6
Athletics	78-83-1	39-42	39-41-1	10-11	68-71-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	85-77	49-32	36-45	62-47	23-29
Athletics	69-93	38-43	31-50	13-8	55-85

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 21st	@ATL	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 9.5	ATL -104
May 20th	@ATL	W 7-3	+1.5 W	O 9.5	SEA +112
May 19th	@ATL	L 2-6	+1.5 L	U 8.5	ATL +126
May 17th	@BOS	L 3-12	+1.5 L	O 9.5	BOS +114
May 16th	@BOS	L 4-9	-1.5 L	O 10.5	BOS -162

Miguel Andujar
OF
Andujar is out with abdominal
Out
Luis Medina
P
Medina is out with elbow
Out
Esteury Ruiz
OF
Ruiz is out with wrist
Out
Ken Waldichuk
P
Waldichuk is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LK.Muller, P	97	5	3	6
RA. Martínez, P	35	1	1	2
RS.Fujinami, P	40	2	4	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1E.Ruiz, CF	1-4	1	0
2R.Noda, 1B	1-3	1	0
3B.Rooker, DH	0-4	0	1
4S.Brown, RF	2-4	0	1
4S.Brown, LF	2-4	0	1
5J.Bleday, LF	0-1	0	0
5R.Laureano, PH	0-1	0	0
5R.Laureano, RF	0-1	0	0
6J. Peterson, 3B	0-4	0	0
7S.Langeliers, C	1-4	0	0
8T. Kemp, 2B	0-4	0	0
9N.Allen, SS	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Castillo, P	101	6	8	0
RJ. Then, P	26	1.1	0	2
LG.Speier, P	10	0.2	1	0
RC.Flexen, P	12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	1-5	0	0	0
2T.France, 1B	2-3	2	0	0
3J.Rodriguez, CF	3-4	3	0	1
4J.Kelenic, DH	3-4	2	1	3
5E.Suarez, 3B	2-5	0	0	3
5S.Haggerty, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5S.Haggerty, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
6C.Raleigh, C	1-5	1	0	1
7T.Hernandez, RF	0-5	0	0	0
8A. Pollock, LF	0-2	2	0	0
9J.Caballero, 2B	1-4	1	1	3
9J.Caballero, 3B	1-4	1	1	3