Athletics vs. Rangers Odds & Betting Predictions - April 22, 2023

Athletics at Rangers

11:05 pm • BSSW

Athletics

0-0

3 - 18

Texas Rangers

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Heaney			4.15	10-6
S.Fujinami			4.85	2-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Athletics 0-0	+1.5+100	o8.5-122	+202
Rangers 0-0	-1.5-120	u8.5-102	-250

Saturday 11:05 p.m.

April 22, 2023

Globe Life FieldArlington

A.Heaney u17.5 Outs-125

1.25u

MGM. It’s an ambitious line for Heaney, who is 0/3 on this line so far. Velocity and spin rate are down, and he’s been very inefficient with his pitches (4.4 pitches per PA would be 4th out of 120 starters if he qualified). He will still get strikeouts, but at the expense of driving his pitch count up. Oaklands offense isn’t great, but they don’t chase (9th lowest swing rate on out of the zone pitches). And in limited at bats so far, they’ve been decent against LHP (14th in wRC+). Heaney’s been plagued with struggles the third time through the order in his career (only 3 AB this season). To get to 6 IP, he’ll almost assuredly have to pitch a third time through. Even with a shitty OAK offense, there’s multiple ways for us to get there with this one.

A.Heaney u7.5 Ks-105

1.5u

Heaney has always been excellent at generating strikeouts, but his 11.4 K/9 right now is very misleading. His fastball is down 1.5 mph and his swinging strike rate is down to 9% (typically he’s in the 12-14% range). It’s going to be very tough for him to maintain his current K rate if that trend continues. A’s have 8 right handed hitters in the lineup today which will ding his K rate and home plate ump Jordan Baker tends to squeeze pitchers. Projecting this closer to -220. We are getting quite a bit of value here

TEX o2.5 (F5)-120

0.83u

TEX -1.5-114

0.5u

Under 5 (F5)-125

1.25u

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Saturday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 22, 2023 UTC

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The Athletics are just 7-49 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Rangers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rangers are 33-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rangers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 32 of Rangers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	70-91	37-44	33-47	35-56	34-34
Athletics	86-76	44-37	42-39	9-12	76-64

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rangers	74-79-8	32-47-2	42-32-6	40-47-4	34-30-4
Athletics	78-83-1	39-42	39-41-1	10-11	68-71-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	78-84	44-37	33-47	52-39	24-44
Athletics	69-93	38-43	31-50	13-8	55-85

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 22nd	ATH	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	ATH -250
Apr 19th	@KC	W 12-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	TEX -105
Apr 18th	@KC	W 12-2	-1.5 W	O 9	TEX -120
Apr 17th	@KC	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	TEX -225
Apr 16th	@HOU	W 9-1	+1.5 W	O 8	TEX +177

Miguel Andujar
OF
Andujar is out with abdominal
Out
Luis Medina
P
Medina is out with elbow
Out
Jeffrey Springs
P
Springs is out with elbow
Out
Esteury Ruiz
OF
Ruiz is out with wrist
Out
Ken Waldichuk
P
Waldichuk is out with elbow
Out

Corey Seager
IF
Seager is out with hip
Out
Tyler Mahle
P
Mahle is out with shoulder
Out
Evan Carter
OF
Carter is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Fujinami, P	72	2.1	2	8
RA. Martínez, P	70	3.2	2	5
RJ. Kaprielian, P	24	1	1	3
RJ. Peterson, P	31	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Ruiz, CF	1-4	1	0	0
2J.Diaz, 2B	1-4	1	0	1
3J. Aguilar, 1B	2-3	1	1	1
4B.Rooker, LF	1-3	0	0	0
5C. Pérez, C	0-3	0	0	1
6A.Diaz, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6T.Wade, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
7S.Langeliers, DH	0-2	0	0	0
8K.Smith, SS	1-4	0	0	0
9C.Capel, RF	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Heaney, P	97	6	4	2
RI. Kennedy, P	13	1	1	0
RJ.Sborz, P	34	2	4	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	2-3	2	0	2
1E.Duran, 2B	2-2	2	1	2
2T.Jankowski, LF	1-5	2	0	0
2T.Jankowski, CF	1-5	2	0	0
3N.Lowe, 1B	2-4	3	0	1
4A.Garcia, RF	5-5	5	3	8
5J.Jung, 3B	2-6	1	0	2
6J.Heim, C	1-2	0	0	2
6S. León, C	1-1	0	0	1
7B. Miller, DH	0-5	0	0	0
7B. Miller, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
8J.Smith, SS	1-3	2	0	0
9L.Taveras, CF	1-4	1	0	0
9B.Thompson, LF	0-1	0	0	0