Blue Jays vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2024

Blue Jays at Nationals

10:45 pm • Apple TV+

Toronto Blue Jays

11-6

3 - 9

Washington Nationals

8-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
P.Corbin			5.62	6-13
Y.Kikuchi			4.75	4-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 11-6	-1.5-135	o8.5-112	-214
Nationals 8-8	+1.5+114	u8.5-107	+177

Friday 10:45 p.m.

May 03, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

J.Turner o1.5 Total Bases-120

1.2u

TOR -170 (Live)

Bet365 6:51.

TOR o4.5 Team Total-142

Pls god be a winner

Under 8.5-102

1.02u

TOR -185 (F5)

Under 8.5-108

0.75u

P.Corbin u3.5 Ks-140

0.5u

Under 9-110

... under when home team shutout Overall: 413-291-40,59% (ROI:13%) Season:2-1-0,67% (ROI:26%)

Y.Kikuchi o17.5 Outs-110

Under 9-110

0.55u

Bet to 8.5 (-105)

TOR -159 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -175

Featured Insight
Blue Jays allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 41% of their games last season -- fourth lowest in MLB. The Nationals scored in at least three different innings in just 41% of their games last season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Nationals have allowed a run just 17% of the time after an opposing score this season -- lowest in MLB. The Blue Jays have answered-back in just 21% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Dabbundo's MLB Bets for Friday
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Blue Jays vs. Nationals: Fade Patrick Corbin Friday!
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The Blue Jays are just 10-65 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .215.

The Nationals are 5-2 (.714) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .575.

Justin Turner is batting .318 on breaking pitches from LHP since the 2022 season -- eighth best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Opponents are hitting .277 (119-for-430) on Patrick Corbin breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- seventh worst among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP-- fifth Percentile.

Bo Bichette is batting .290 since the 2022 season -- 12th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting .313 (378-for-1,207) against Patrick Corbin since the 2022 season -- worst among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP-- 0 Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has thrown his curveball 29% of the time (31/105) when he's behind in the count this season -- highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 9% -- 100th Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .636 (14 Total Bases / 22 ABs) on fastballs away this season -- 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .325 -- seventh Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .353 (47-for-133) against Patrick Corbin this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .323 (184-for-569) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 -- third Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 2nd	@TEX	L 0-6	+1.5 L	U 8	TEX +164
May 2nd	@TEX	W 1-0	+1.5 W	U 9	WSH +167
May 1st	@TEX	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 8	TEX +135
Apr 29th	@MIA	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 8.5	WSH +120
Apr 28th	@MIA	W 12-9	+1.5 W	O 8.5	WSH +115

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

Daulton Varsho
OF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LY.Kikuchi, P	100	6	7	1
RE.Swanson, P	8	0	0	3
LT.Mayza, P	14	0.1	0	1
RZ.Pop, P	9	0.2	0	0
LG.Cabrera, P	28	0.2	0	0
RT.Richards, P	4	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	0-4	0	1
2V.Guerrero, 1B	1-4	0	0
3B.Bichette, SS	0-4	0	0
4J.Turner, DH	1-4	0	0
5D.Jansen, C	1-3	1	0
6D.Schneider, LF	1-3	1	0
7D.Varsho, CF	1-4	1	2
8I.Kiner-Falefa, 2B	1-3	0	0
8C.Biggio, PH	0-1	0	0
9E.Clement, 3B	1-2	0	0
9D.Vogelbach, PH	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LP.Corbin, P	92	6	3	3
RJ.Barnes, P	12	1	1	0
RH.Harvey, P	15	1	1	0
RD.Floro, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Young, CF	1-2	1	0	0
1J.Winker, RF	1-3	1	0	0
1J.Winker, LF	1-3	1	0	0
2C.Abrams, SS	1-5	1	0	1
3N.Senzel, 3B	2-4	0	0	1
4J.Meneses, 1B	2-5	0	0	1
5K.Ruiz, DH	1-5	0	0	0
6A.Call, RF	1-3	1	0	0
6A.Call, CF	1-3	1	0	0
7I.Vargas, LF	1-2	1	0	0
7E.Rosario, RF	0-0	0	0	0
8R.Adams, C	1-3	2	0	0
9T.Lipscomb, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
9L.Garcia, PH	1-1	2	1	3
9L.Garcia, 2B	1-1	2	1	3