Blue Jays vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2024

Blue Jays at Nationals

8:05 pm • SN1

Toronto Blue Jays

11-6

6 - 3

Washington Nationals

8-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Irvin			4.41	10-14
K.Gausman			3.83	14-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 11-6	-1.5-102	o7.5-113	-175
Nationals 8-8	+1.5-118	u7.5-106	+145

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

May 04, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

Over 4.5 (F5)+108

… f5 fav vs bad pitcher over Overall: 280-189-75,60% (ROI:13%) Season:3-6-2,33% (ROI:-32%)

TOR -150 (F5)

0.33u

Flat to -155

J.Irvin o4.5 Ks+115

Featured Insight
The Blue Jays have scored 4.9 runs per game on the road since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB (179 games). The Nationals have allowed 5.3 runs per game at home since the 2022 season -- second highest in MLB (174 games).

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Featured Insight
Nationals right-handed hitters have struck out just 14% against LHP over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB. Blue Jays have a strikeout rate of just 14% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB.

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The Nationals are 5-2 (.714) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .575.

40% of Justin Turner strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 50% of Jake Irvin's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- tied for eighth highest among qualified SPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Eddie Rosario has an OPS of just .290 this season -- third worst among hitters with at least 45 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Yimi Garcia has allowed an OPS of just .353 (47 PAs) this season -- fourth best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Jake Irvin has a strikeout rate of just 11% (6 SO in 54 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 2nd lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 22% -- fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 37% (295/790) against Kevin Gausman on sliders since the 2022 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 49% -- first Percentile.

Jake Irvin has walked 1 of 61 right-handed batters (2%) this season -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 3rd	TOR	W 9-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	WSH +177
May 2nd	@TEX	L 0-6	+1.5 L	U 8	TEX +164
May 2nd	@TEX	W 1-0	+1.5 W	U 9	WSH +167
May 1st	@TEX	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 8	TEX +135
Apr 29th	@MIA	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 8.5	WSH +120

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

Daulton Varsho
OF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Gausman, P	112	5.1	8	0
LB.Little, P	15	1	2	1
RN.Pearson, P	18	0.1	0	1
LT.Mayza, P	5	0.1	1	0
RT.Richards, P	12	1	1	0
RJ.Romano, P	25	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	1-5	1	0	0
2D.Varsho, LF	2-4	0	0	0
3V.Guerrero, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
4J.Turner, 3B	1-4	1	0	1
4E.Clement, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
5B.Bichette, SS	1-3	1	0	0
5I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	0-2	0	0	0
6D.Vogelbach, DH	0-5	0	0	1
7D.Jansen, C	2-3	1	0	1
8C.Biggio, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9K.Kiermaier, CF	1-4	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Irvin, P	107	5	4	0
RJ.Weems, P	18	1	2	0
RD.Law, P	29	2	3	2
RT.Rainey, P	18	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	2-4	0	1
2N.Senzel, 3B	1-5	0	1
3L.Garcia, 2B	2-4	0	1
4J.Meneses, DH	0-4	0	0
5J.Winker, LF	0-4	0	0
6K.Ruiz, C	0-4	0	0
7E.Rosario, RF	1-3	1	0
8A.Call, CF	0-3	1	0
9T.Lipscomb, 1B	0-2	1	0