Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - July 29, 2024

Blue Jays at Orioles

7:05 pm • SNET

Toronto Blue Jays

0-0

5 - 11

Baltimore Orioles

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Eflin			2.60	5-2
Y.Rodriguez			4.47	1-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 0-0	+1.5	+1.5-146	o8.5-122	+137
Orioles 0-0	u8.5	-1.5+122	u8.5+101	-163

Monday 7:05 p.m.

July 29, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

V.Guerrero o3.5 Total Bases+320

0.99u

V.Guerrero o1.5 Total Bases-105

Over 10.5 (Live)-105

0.95u

TOR o6.5 Team Total+350

0.25u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

1.1u

Y.Rodriguez o4.5 Ks-115

1.15u

V.Guerrero o1.5 Total Bases-105

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-111

TOR o1.5 Team Total (F5)-125

0.8u

Z.Eflin o3.5 Ks-130

1.35u

Projection lands at 4.63 and a +ev pick with devig odds of -169 giving us value at this number

Z.Eflin o2.5 Earned Runs+110

1.1u

😢

Over 9+100

Z.Eflin u17.5 Outs+155

Y.Rodriguez u14.5 Outs-102

0.74u

Projection lands at 13.51 and a +ev pick with devig odds of -128 on Pinnacle giving us value at this number

Y.Rodriguez o4.5 Ks+120

Rodriguez is 6/8 to the over when throwing 68+ pitches (6+ Ks in each over with both misses vs KC). Pitch count should be absolutely safe today in the first game of a double header, with the Jays going bullpen game in game 2. Baltimore is tough, but Rodriguez has been really good against lefties (.233 wOBA, 25.3% K%) - very pertinent with the Orioles being so LHH heavy.

BAL -194

0.52u

BP4

BAL -1.5+110

1.1u

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Featured Insight
Orioles hitters are slugging .441 versus relief pitchers this season -- best in MLB. Blue Jays RPs have allowed a SLG of .440 this season -- tied for worst in MLB.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 28th	SD	W 8-6	-1.5 W	O 9	BAL -140
Jul 27th	SD	L 4-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	SD -105
Jul 26th	SD	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 9	SD -202
Jul 25th	@MIA	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 8	BAL -207
Jul 24th	@MIA	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8	MIA -136

Max Scherzer
P
Scherzer is out with hamstring
Out
Bo Bichette
IF
Bichette is out with finger
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RY.Rodriguez, P	43	0.2	1	3
LB.Eisert, P	52	2.2	0	3
RY.Rodriguez, P	37	1.2	1	3
RT.Richards, P	30	2	1	0
RE.Swanson, P	25	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	1-4	0	0	0
1S.Berroa, LF	0-1	0	0	0
2S.Horwitz, 2B	2-5	2	0	0
2S.Horwitz, 1B	2-5	2	0	0
3V.Guerrero, DH	3-5	2	1	2
4J.Turner, 1B	1-1	0	0	0
4A.Barger, LF	1-4	1	1	3
4A.Barger, RF	1-4	1	1	3
5D.Varsho, CF	0-4	0	0	0
6A.Kirk, C	3-4	0	0	0
7D.Schneider, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7D.Schneider, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
8E.Clement, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
9L.Jimenez, SS	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Eflin, P	98	6	7	3
LK.Akin, P	14	1	1	1
RB.Smith, P	29	2	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Cowser, LF	1-3	2	0	1
2A.Santander, DH	2-4	2	1	2
3G.Henderson, SS	1-4	2	0	0
4R.Mountcastle, 1B	3-4	2	1	2
5R.O'Hearn, RF	0-2	0	0	1
5C.Pache, RF	1-1	0	0	0
6J.Westburg, 2B	3-5	1	0	2
7C.Mullins, CF	1-3	1	0	0
8R.Urias, 3B	0-3	0	0	2
9J.McCann, C	1-3	1	0	1