Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 25, 2023

Blue Jays at Rays

5:10 pm • MLB Network

Toronto Blue Jays

9-6

3 - 6

Tampa Bay Rays

6-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Eflin			3.50	16-8
A.Manoah			5.87	3-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 9-6	+1.5-143	o8-112	+141
Rays 6-7	-1.5+119	u8-110	-170

Thursday 5:10 p.m.

May 25, 2023

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

J.Lowe o0.5 HR+645

0.25u

H.Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases+126

0.5u

Z.Eflin u5.5 Ks-128

FD is floating 5.5 and I like the value we are getting at that number. He’s cleared this in 3 of the last 4 games and he has benefited from the combo of teams taking pitches in the zone (for called strikes) and whiffing on pitches outside of the zone. Toronto has the 3rd highest swing rate on pitches in the zone and 4th lowest whiff rate on pitches outside of the zone. This should be a tougher spot for him to rack up Ks and I’m projecting this closer to -160

TB -1-115

TB -0.5 (F5)-120

0.5u

Missed all the good stupid numbers cuz I was working late last night on other stuff so I’m mad about having to take RL on this

A.Manoah u17.5 Outs-130

Manoah - under in 8/10 starts, including 5/L5. 6.54 xERA, sky high walk rate (14%), 43% hard hit (had been 32% in prior seasons), with diminished velocity and spin. No signs of the pitcher we saw last season. Worst start of season vs TB - 4.2 IP, 9 H, 7 ER.

TB -138 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -150

TB -135

0.5u

Bet to -140

Over 8-105

Project 10.2; Rays crush right hand pitching (Manoah). Each bullpen 4.3 FIP or worse

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The Rays are 55-25 (.688) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since last season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .582.

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MLB Public Betting

Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 24th	TOR	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 8	TB -175
May 23rd	TOR	L 1-20	+1.5 L	O 8.5	TOR -112
May 22nd	TOR	W 6-4	+1.5 W	O 9	TB -102
May 21st	MIL	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 8	MIL -136
May 20th	MIL	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	TB -210

Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

Daulton Varsho
OF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Manoah, P	87	3	6	4
RT.Richards, P	32	3	3	0
RA.Cimber, P	26	1	0	1
LT.Mayza, P	12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Bichette, SS	1-4	0	1
2D.Varsho, LF	0-3	1	0
2E.Clement, PH	0-0	0	1
3V.Guerrero, 1B	1-5	0	0
4B. Belt, DH	1-2	0	1
5M.Chapman, 3B	0-4	0	0
6N.Lukes, RF	0-3	0	0
6W.Merrifield, PH	0-1	0	0
7A.Kirk, C	3-4	1	0
8K.Kiermaier, CF	1-4	1	0
9C.Biggio, 2B	1-3	0	0
9G.Springer, PH	0-0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Eflin, P	94	7	0	1
RC.Faucher, P	15	1	0	0
LJ.Diekman, P	18	0.1	1	2
LC.Poche, P	7	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Lowe, RF	1-4	0	1
2W. Franco, SS	1-2	2	0
3R.Arozarena, LF	2-3	1	2
4B.Lowe, 2B	1-4	0	0
5H.Ramirez, DH	0-4	0	1
6T.Walls, 3B	0-3	1	0
7L.Raley, 1B	0-2	2	0
8M.Margot, CF	0-4	0	1
9F. Mejia, C	0-4	0	0