Blue Jays vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - April 6, 2023

Blue Jays at Royals

6:10 pm • BSKC

Toronto Blue Jays

0-0

6 - 3

Kansas City Royals

3-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J. Lyles			6.28	6-17
K.Gausman			3.16	12-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 0-0	-1.5-135	o8.5+100	-227
Royals 3-3	+1.5+110	u8.5-120	+185

Thursday 6:10 p.m.

April 06, 2023

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

KC +2.5 (Live)+390

0.25u

Bet365 4:34.

Under 9.5-128

0.78u

D.Jansen o0.5 HR+550

0.25u

DraftKings 2:08.

M.Chapman o1.5 Total Bases+100

0.5u

9-for-21 with 5 HRs and a double vs Lyles (1.190 SLG). Chapman has been phenomenal this season to start, with 2+ hits in 4/6 and XBH in 50% of games

M.Chapman o0.5 RBI+135

0.47u

Bet365 1:33.

D.Varsho o0.5 RBI+170

0.85u

Bet365 1:33 pm EST.

TOR -1.5-130

Under 8.5-120

$30.00

Mjay

Under 8.5-118

0.59u

TOR -210

0.5u

TOR -220 (F5)

0.5u

Under 8.5-102

V.Guerrero Jr. o0.5 HR+675

1.01u

Bet365 9:20. Likely not great HR conditions is the problem here but good matchup and think Vladdy is having great ABs right now. Could wait and make sure he starts before playing

V.Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases+110

0.83u

Bet365 9:20.

M.Chapman o0.5 HR+474

0.5u

Chapman 5 HR in 21 ABs v Jordan Lyles

J.Bradley Jr. u0.5 Total Bases+100

0.5u

JBJr 3/30 lifetime v Gausman w 12 Strikeouts

TOR -1.5-120

0.42u

Bet365 12:21.

KC +1.5+106

TOR -220 (F5)

0.5u

Need -220 or better. -190 at pointsbet if you have it

Under 9-118

0.59u

Bet to 8.5 (-108), but may change target depending on tonight’s bullpen usage

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The Royals are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Blue Jays are 78-20 (.796) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Royals are just 4-42 (.087) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

The Blue Jays are 68-4 (.944) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season -- 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.

George Springer hit 14 home runs in early innings last season -- tied for 10th most in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Jordan Lyles allowed 15 home runs in early innings last season -- tied for 11th most among pitchers-- 96th Percentile.

Whit Merrifield had a miss rate of only 9% on inside fastballs last season -- tied for 14th best in MLB-- 88th Percentile. Jordan Lyles located his fastball inside 42% of the time last season -- 13th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 90th Percentile.

Jordan Lyles allowed a slugging percentage of .417 (151 Total Bases / 362 ABs) with two-strikes in 2022 -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 -- second Percentile.

Left-handed hitters had a chase rate of 42% (245/578) against Kevin Gausman in 2022 -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 28% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Royals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 5th	TOR	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TOR +163
Apr 4th	TOR	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 10	TOR +146
Apr 3rd	TOR	W 9-5	+1.5 W	O 8	KC +115
Apr 2nd	MIN	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 9	MIN +122
Apr 1st	MIN	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 8	MIN +136

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season

Bo Bichette
IF
Bichette is out with finger
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Gausman, P	86	6	7	0
RA. Bass, P	8	1	2	0
RT.Richards, P	16	0	0	3
LT.Mayza, P	6	0.1	0	0
RY.Garcia, P	11	0.2	2	0
RA.Cimber, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Bichette, SS	2-5	1	0	1
2V.Guerrero, DH	3-5	2	1	1
3D.Varsho, LF	2-4	1	0	1
4M.Chapman, 3B	1-4	0	0	2
5W.Merrifield, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
6B. Belt, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7D.Jansen, C	0-4	0	0	0
8C.Biggio, RF	1-4	1	1	1
8G.Springer, RF	0-0	0	0	0
9K.Kiermaier, CF	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ. Lyles, P	106	5.2	9	5
LA.Garrett, P	5	0.1	1	0
RJ.Cuas, P	28	2	1	1
RS.Barlow, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Witt, SS	2-5	1	1	1
2M.Melendez, C	0-3	1	0	0
3S.Perez, DH	1-4	1	0	0
4V.Pasquantino, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
5E.Olivares, LF	2-4	0	0	1
6M.Massey, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
6F. Reyes, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6N.Lopez, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
7H. Dozier, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Pratto, RF	1-4	0	0	0
9N. Eaton, CF	0-4	0	0	0