Blue Jays vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - October 4, 2023

Blue Jays at Twins

8:38 pm • ESPN

Toronto Blue Jays

0-2

0 - 2

Minnesota Twins

2-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Gray			4.00	1-1
J.Berrios			3.00	0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 0-2	N/A	N/A	N/A
Twins 2-0	N/A	N/A	N/A

Wednesday 8:38 p.m.

October 04, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

TOR o1.5-123

$123.00

Over 6.5 (Live)-110

I’ll take this total any day of the week

MIN -1.5+148

1.01u

MIN -144

MIN -1+105

2.1u

MIN -140

Over 8-105

S.Gray u1.5 Earned Runs+120

1.2u

S.Gray o1.5 Earned Runs-150

Bet365

S.Gray o4.5 Ks-128

Don’t love going with an over here, but this is a very achievable line for Gray, especially with the added luxury of the Twins being up 1-0 in the series. He hit this in 13/16 full home starts this season, and has excellent K numbers vs the Jays main hitters, except for Springer. Bichette, Vlad, Belt, Chapman, Kiermaier have a combined 15 Ks in 52 PA vs Gray. Biggio/Merrifield (one will start) also with high K numbers vs Gray. Varsho is 0/2 with 0 Ks, but he’s been pretty brutal at the plate lately (25% last 30 days). That leaves Springer and Kirk as the only tough matchups here.

V.Guerrero Jr. o0.5 HR+475

0.25u

MIN -143

MIN -145 (F5)

Under 8-115

TOR +0.5 (F5)-125

Berrios prolly giving up like 5 runs first inning

TOR +0.5 (F5)-125

$62.50

V.Guerrero Jr. o0.5 HR+440

0.5u

TOR +117

S.Gray o4.5 Ks-115

1.22u

Sonny Serves Ks. Sonny Side Up. Sonny Scrambler. Sonny Sizzle. Those are just random nicknames I’ve thought about because this line is about as certain as Waffle House being open 24 hours a day.

MIN -130 (F5)

0.77u

Bet to -135

MIN -126

2.5u

Under 8.5-115

0.87u

Bet to 8 (-103)

Featured Insight
Twins Left Handed Hitters have struck out 28% against RHP this season -- highest in MLB. Blue Jays have a strikeout rate of 25% vs left-handed batters this season -- tied for second-highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Blue Jays have scored just 4.2 runs per game at home this season -- eighth-lowest in MLB (81 games). The Twins have allowed just 4.0 runs per game on the road this season -- third-lowest in MLB (81 games).

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 3rd	TOR	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	MIN -122
Oct 1st	@COL	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 13	COL -160
Oct 1st	@COL	W 14-6	-1.5 W	O 13	MIN -142
Sep 30th	@COL	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 11.5	MIN -192
Sep 28th	ATH	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8	ATH -275

Daulton Varsho
OF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Berrios, P	47	3	5	1
LY.Kikuchi, P	21	1.2	0	1
RY.Garcia, P	24	1.1	3	0
RE.Swanson, P	16	0.2	1	0
RJ.Romano, P	15	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	2-4	0	0	0
2B. Belt, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3V.Guerrero, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4B.Bichette, SS	2-4	0	0	0
5C.Biggio, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
5C.Biggio, LF	1-4	0	0	0
6A.Kirk, C	2-4	0	0	0
7K.Kiermaier, CF	0-2	0	0	0
7S.Espinal, PH	2-2	0	0	0
7S.Espinal, 2B	2-2	0	0	0
7W.Merrifield, PR	0-0	0	0	0
8M.Chapman, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9D.Varsho, LF	0-3	0	0	0
9D.Varsho, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RS.Gray, P	85	5	6
RL.Varland, P	17	0.1	1
LC.Thielbar, P	4	0.2	0
RB.Stewart, P	13	1	2
RG.Jax, P	15	1	0
RJ.Duran, P	13	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	1-4	0	0
1K.Farmer, PR	0-0	0	0
1K.Farmer, 3B	0-0	0	0
2J.Polanco, 3B	2-3	0	0
2J.Polanco, 2B	2-3	0	0
3R.Lewis, DH	0-3	1	0
4M.Kepler, RF	1-4	1	0
5A.Kirilloff, 1B	0-1	0	0
5D.Solano, PH	0-1	0	0
5D.Solano, 1B	0-1	0	0
6C.Correa, SS	2-3	0	1
7M.Wallner, LF	0-1	0	0
7W.Castro, PH	1-3	0	0
7W.Castro, LF	1-3	0	0
8R.Jeffers, C	0-3	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	0-3	0	0