Braves vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - July 31, 2024

Braves at Brewers

6:10 pm • BSWI

Atlanta Braves

0-0

6 - 2

Milwaukee Brewers

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
F.Peralta			3.68	11-9
C.Sale			2.38	18-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-0	-1.5+142	o7.5-104	-120
Brewers 0-0	+1.5-170	u7.5-115	+100

Wednesday 6:10 p.m.

July 31, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

ATL -120

0.83u

Over 9.5 (Live)+110

ATL -115 (F5)

0.5u

Flat to -123

ATL -112

F.Peralta o6.5 Ks-134

0.84u

Projection lands at 7.05 and a +ev pick with devig odds of -169 giving us value at this number

F.Peralta u17.5 Outs+140

Peralta just hitting this line enough to warrant this price - he’s under in 13/21 starts, including 8/10 at home (really 7/10 though - he was ejected in the 6th in one game). Braves offense should have 6 bats with above avg pitches per PA (I’m including Soler, who is reportedly going to play) - and the offense seems to be turning a corner. And still, Peralta has stayed under this line at home versus below avg offenses (CHW, MIA, CIN, WSH).

Featured Insight
Braves hitters have a hard-hit rate of 43% this season -- second best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 42% against the Brewers RPs this season -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Brewers RPs have a strikeout rate of 27% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB. Braves right-handed hitters have struck out 36% against LHP over the last week -- tied for second highest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 31, 2024 UTC
MLB Player Props for Wednesday
Doug Ziefel•
Jul 31, 2024 UTC
Our MLB Best Bets for Wednesday
Action Network Staff•
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Our Top SGP for Braves-Brewers
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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 31st	ATL	L 1-5	-	U 8.5	ATL -112
Jul 30th	ATL	W 8-3	+1.5 W	O 8	MIL -120
Jul 28th	MIA	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 8	MIL -214
Jul 27th	MIA	L 3-7	-1.5 L	O 8	MIA -175
Jul 27th	MIA	L 2-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	MIA -238

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sale, P	100	5.2	6	2
RP.Johnson, P	27	1.1	2	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	20	1	2	0
RR.Iglesias, P	15	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Soler, RF	0-3	0	0	0
1R.Laureano, RF	1-1	0	0	0
2A.Riley, 3B	1-5	0	0	2
3M.Ozuna, DH	0-5	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	2	2	2
5T.d'Arnaud, C	2-4	2	2	2
6E.Rosario, LF	0-1	0	0	0
6A.Duvall, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6A.Duvall, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7O.Arcia, SS	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Kelenic, CF	0-4	1	0	0
9W.Merrifield, 2B	1-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Peralta, P	101	6	7	2
LJ.Koenig, P	17	0.2	1	0
RE.Peguero, P	9	0.1	1	0
RN.Mears, P	28	1.2	2	2
LH.Milner, P	5	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Chourio, LF	2-5	1	0
2R.Hoskins, 1B	1-4	1	0
2J.Bauers, PH	0-1	0	0
3G.Sanchez, C	2-4	0	1
4W.Adames, SS	0-4	0	0
5J.Ortiz, 3B	1-3	0	0
6B.Perkins, CF	1-1	0	1
6G.Mitchell, PH	0-1	0	0
6G.Mitchell, CF	0-1	0	0
7S.Frelick, RF	1-3	0	0
8E.Haase, DH	0-2	0	0
8W.Contreras, PH	0-1	0	0
8W.Contreras, DH	0-1	0	0
9A.Monasterio, 2B	0-3	0	0
9B.Turang, PH	0-1	0	0