Braves vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - June 3, 2023

Braves at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • BSAZ

Atlanta Braves

6-13

2 - 3

Arizona Diamondbacks

12-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Kelly			3.29	12-8
C.Morton			3.64	14-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 6-13	-1.5+130	o9-120	-118
Diamondbacks 12-8	+1.5-160	u9-102	+100

Saturday 1:40 a.m.

June 03, 2023

Chase FieldPhoenix

L.Gurriel Jr. o1.5 Total Bases+135

1.01u

Bet365 9:29.

ARI +100

0.5u

FanDuel 9:12.

ATL -0.5 (F5)+125

ATL -125 (F5)

-115

M.Kelly o5.5 Ks+114

1.14u

Available at FanDuel. We've got a pretty large sample now on Kelly being a higher-strikeout guy than this number implies. In 11 starts this year, he has hit six strikeouts six times, including in four of his past five. Kelly also tends to get a decent boost at home, which is where this game will be played. It's not a fun matchup by any means, but it's also not a low-strikeout one. I just think Kelly is better than the market believes.

ARI +106

1.06u

Available at FanDuel. I've got the Diamondbacks as the favorites in this game, allowing me to take the plus money on the moneyline. Merrill Kelly has pitched really well this year, leaning more on his changeup en route to a 3.64 SIERA through 11 starts. His elevated strikeout rate should also help mute the Braves' power bats, at least a bit. The Diamondbacks add a solid bullpen, as well, even if it's not quite on the same level as the Braves'. The Braves are the better team, but the pitching matchup is close, and Arizona is at home. That's enough for me to give them the edge here.

ARI +105

0.84u

ARI +115

0.58u

Bet to +110

The Moneyline, Total Landing Big Bets
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Jun 2, 2023 UTC
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The Braves are 6-3 (.667) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .401.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 6-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Diamondbacks' 10 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	11-9	5-5	6-4	9-8	2-1
Braves	8-11	4-2	4-9	5-7	3-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	9-8-3	2-5-3	7-3	8-6-3	1-2
Braves	9-8-2	3-3	6-5-2	7-5	2-3-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	12-8	6-4	6-4	10-7	2-1
Braves	6-13	4-2	2-11	5-7	1-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 1st	COL	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9.5	ARI -177
Jun 1st	COL	W 6-0	-1.5 W	U 10	ARI -162
May 31st	COL	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ARI -250
May 29th	COL	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 9.5	ARI -202
May 28th	BOS	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 9	ARI -130

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Nacho Alvarez
IF
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Jordan Montgomery
P
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Blaze Alexander
IF
Alexander is out with oblique
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P		99	7	9	3
RC. McHugh, P		7	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-4	0	0	0
2M.Olson, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
4S.Murphy, C	1-4	0	0	0
4S.Hilliard, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5T.d'Arnaud, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6E.Rosario, LF	3-4	2	2	2
7O.Albies, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	1-4	0	0	0
9M.Harris, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Kelly, P	100	7	8	2
RA.Adams, P	15	1	2	0
RM.Castro, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Perdomo, 2B	2-4	1	0
2K.Marte, DH	0-4	0	0
3C.Carroll, CF	1-3	2	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-3	0	1
5L.Gurriel, LF	1-3	0	2
6E.Rivera, 3B	0-3	0	0
7G.Moreno, C	0-3	0	0
8N.Ahmed, SS	1-2	0	0
9J.McCarthy, RF	0-3	0	0