Braves vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 12, 2024

Braves at Marlins

11:10 pm • BSSO

Atlanta Braves

0-2

8 - 1

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Rogers			7.11	0-2
M.Fried			3.25	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5-125	o9-108	-200
Marlins 0-0	+1.5+105	u9-112	+165

Friday 11:10 p.m.

April 12, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

Over 8.5-117

ATL -1.5-118

M.Fried u5.5 Ks-115

0.5u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

M.Fried u5.5 Ks-115

ATL -190

0.53u

J.Burger u0.5 Hits+140

1.4u

Burgers all day

Featured Insight
Braves have a strikeout rate of 25% vs right-handed batters since the 2022 season -- tied for highest in MLB. Marlins right-handed hitters have struck out 24% against LHP since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Marlins have struck out just 19% over the last week -- 10th lowest in MLB. Braves have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last week -- second lowest in MLB.

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The Braves are 33-47 (.412) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .217.

The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .427.

The Marlins are 28-19 (.596) after a home win since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .526.

The Marlins are 57-10 (.851) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .783.

Austin Riley is slugging .538 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- fifth best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Tanner Scott has thrown a breaking pitch 57% of the time since the 2022 season -- tied for 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 74.3 MPH (3 batted balls) this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 88.9 -- 100th Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to April 14th, 2023 -- the longest active streak is 8.

Trevor Rogers has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 80.0 MPH (16 batted balls) this season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 88.9 -- 98th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.8 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (163 balls in play) -- tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 10th	@NYY	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +184
Apr 9th	@NYY	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8	NYY +180
Apr 8th	@NYY	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 8	NYY +130
Apr 7th	@STL	W 10-3	+1.5 W	O 9	MIA +120
Apr 6th	@STL	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 8	STL +125

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	84	6.1	4	1
RP.Johnson, P	11	0.2	1	0
LA.Minter, P	14	1	1	0
LA.Bummer, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	2-4	1	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	2-4	2	0	1
3A.Riley, 3B	1-5	0	0	1
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	1	0	1
5M.Ozuna, DH	3-4	2	1	3
6A.Duvall, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	1-5	0	0	1
8O.Arcia, SS	3-5	2	0	1
9T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Rogers, P	80	5	5	2
RG.Soriano, P	25	1.2	1	3
LA.Nardi, P	17	0	0	2
RB.Smith, P	16	0.1	0	0
RM.Andriese, P	26	2	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	1-2	0	0
2J.Bell, DH	1-4	0	0
3J.Burger, 1B	0-4	0	0
4B.De La Cruz, LF	1-4	0	0
5J.Chisholm, CF	1-4	1	0
6A.Garcia, RF	1-4	0	0
7E.Rivera, 3B	1-4	0	1
8N.Fortes, C	0-2	0	0
8J.Sanchez, PH	0-1	0	0
8C.Bethancourt, C	0-0	0	0
9V.Brujan, SS	0-3	0	0