Braves vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - July 25, 2024

Braves at Mets

11:10 pm • BSSE

Atlanta Braves

8-13

2 - 3

New York Mets

15-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Severino			3.91	11-7
C.Sale			2.38	18-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 8-13	-1.5+142	o7-123	-121
Mets 15-7	+1.5-170	u7+103	+100

Thursday 11:10 p.m.

July 25, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

M.Ozuna o0.5 HR+390

0.25u

F.Lindor o0.5 HR+420

1.05u

NYM -104

0.96u

Over 7.5-110

Over 7.5+100

Under 7.5-114

C.Sale u17.5 Outs+136

0.75u

Projection lands at 16.87 and a +ev pick giving us value at this number

M.Olson u1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110

ATL -108

$54.00

Under 7.5-110

0.5u

Bet to -119 or 7 (+100)

NYM +120 (F5)

0.3u

Small to +110

Under 7.5-115

0.87u

NYM +110

0.55u

Bet to +103

ATL -130

1.3u

BP4

Featured Insight
The Braves have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- tied for third lowest in MLB (162 games). The Mets have scored just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB (167 games).

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The Braves are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

J.D. Martinez has struck out in 27% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for sixth highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 31% since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 169 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Marcell Ozuna is slugging .545 on breaking pitches this season -- tied for 12th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Edwin Diaz has thrown a breaking pitch 56% of the time this season -- 15th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 35% (56 SO in 162 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

20 of Chris Sale's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season -- most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 5-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mets' 10 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	11-11	6-4	5-7	8-9	3-2
Braves	9-12	5-3	4-9	6-8	3-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	7-15	3-7	4-8	7-10	0-5
Braves	9-9-3	3-4-1	6-5-2	7-6-1	2-3-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	15-7	9-1	6-6	13-4	2-3
Braves	8-13	6-2	2-11	7-7	1-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 24th	@NYY	W 12-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM +143
Jul 23rd	@NYY	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9	NYM +130
Jul 22nd	@MIA	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM -148
Jul 21st	@MIA	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIA -142
Jul 20th	@MIA	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 9	NYM -166

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Nacho Alvarez
IF
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with knee
Out
Jose Siri
OF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Jeff McNeil
IF
McNeil is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Francisco Alvarez
C
Alvarez is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sale, P	94	7.1	9	2
RJ.Jimenez, P	7	0.2	1	0
RR.Iglesias, P	23	1	2	0
RP.Johnson, P	11	0.2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	0-5	0	0
2A.Riley, 3B	2-4	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	0-2	1	0
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	0	0
5T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	0	1
6E.Rosario, LF	0-3	0	0
6W.Merrifield, PR	0-0	0	0
6A.Duvall, LF	0-0	0	0
7N.Alvarez, 2B	0-4	0	0
8R.Laureano, RF	1-4	1	0
9O.Arcia, SS	1-3	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	95	5	6	2
RJ.Butto, P	40	3	4	0
RE.Diaz, P	13	1	2	0
RP.Maton, P	7	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	1-4	1	1	2
2J.Iglesias, 2B	0-4	1	0	0
3J.Martinez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
5M.Vientos, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6J.McNeil, LF	2-4	0	0	1
7F.Alvarez, C	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Taylor, CF	0-2	1	0	0
9D.Stewart, RF	0-3	0	0	0