Braves vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - July 25, 2024

Braves at Mets

11:10 pm • BSSE

Atlanta Braves

0-1

2 - 3

New York Mets

1-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Severino			3.91	11-7
C.Sale			2.38	18-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-1	-1.5+142	o7-123	-121
Mets 1-0	+1.5-170	u7+103	+100

Thursday 11:10 p.m.

July 25, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYM +100

Under 7+103

1.03u

F.Lindor o0.5 HR+420

1.05u

M.Ozuna o0.5 HR+390

0.25u

NYM -104

0.96u

Over 7.5-110

Over 7.5+100

Under 7.5-114

C.Sale u17.5 Outs+136

0.75u

Projection lands at 16.87 and a +ev pick giving us value at this number

M.Olson u1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110

ATL -108

$54.00

Under 7.5-110

0.5u

Bet to -119 or 7 (+100)

NYM +120 (F5)

0.3u

Small to +110

Under 7.5-115

0.87u

NYM +110

0.55u

Bet to +103

ATL -130

1.3u

BP4

Featured Insight
The Braves have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- tied for third lowest in MLB (162 games). The Mets have scored just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB (167 games).

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The Braves are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

J.D. Martinez has struck out in 27% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for sixth highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 31% since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 169 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Marcell Ozuna is slugging .545 on breaking pitches this season -- tied for 12th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Edwin Diaz has thrown a breaking pitch 56% of the time this season -- 15th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 35% (56 SO in 162 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

20 of Chris Sale's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season -- most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 24th	@NYY	W 12-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM +143
Jul 23rd	@NYY	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9	NYM +130
Jul 22nd	@MIA	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM -148
Jul 21st	@MIA	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIA -142
Jul 20th	@MIA	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 9	NYM -166

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sale, P	94	7.1	9	2
RJ.Jimenez, P	7	0.2	1	0
RR.Iglesias, P	23	1	2	0
RP.Johnson, P	11	0.2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	0-5	0	0
2A.Riley, 3B	2-4	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	0-2	1	0
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	0	0
5T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	0	1
6E.Rosario, LF	0-3	0	0
6W.Merrifield, PR	0-0	0	0
6A.Duvall, LF	0-0	0	0
7N.Alvarez, 2B	0-4	0	0
8R.Laureano, RF	1-4	1	0
9O.Arcia, SS	1-3	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	95	5	6	2
RJ.Butto, P	40	3	4	0
RE.Diaz, P	13	1	2	0
RP.Maton, P	7	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	1-4	1	1	2
2J.Iglesias, 2B	0-4	1	0	0
3J.Martinez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
5M.Vientos, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6J.McNeil, LF	2-4	0	0	1
7F.Alvarez, C	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Taylor, CF	0-2	1	0	0
9D.Stewart, RF	0-3	0	0	0