Mets vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 22, 2024

Mets at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

New York Mets

7-6

6 - 4

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Y.Chirinos			6.30	0-2
D.Peterson			2.90	10-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 7-6	-1.5+110	o8.5-108	-148
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-130	u8.5-112	+125

Monday 10:40 p.m.

July 22, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

Under 8.5-105

1.05u

P.Alonso o0.5 RBI+165

0.5u

Over an 11% edge at this current +165 price. Play down to ~150; Chirinos struggles to generate whiffs and really struggles vs. LHH — which Pete gets the opportunity of hitting behind Lindor (switch) and Nimmo Should see a few opportunities RISP + always a threat to go yard

P.Alonso o1.5 RBI+550

0.2u

🪜

D.Peterson o1.5 BB-119

Peterson is over this line in 6/8 MLB starts this season - running his fifth straight season with at least a 10% walk rate. Marlins at 7.4% walk rate this season at home against lefties, which is below avg, but still, 10/16 fully stretched out lefties have cleared this line in Miami this season. Not a terrible lineup either with some plus spots.

Y.Chirinos o4.5 Ks+145

D.Peterson o5.5 Ks+162

0.5u

Under 8.5-105

0.5u

Flat to -108

Featured Insight
Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of 35% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB. Marlins left-handed hitters have struck out 30% against RHP over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 21st	NYM	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +120
Jul 20th	NYM	L 0-1	+1.5 W	U 9	NYM +140
Jul 19th	NYM	W 6-4	+1.5 W	O 8	MIA +110
Jul 14th	@CIN	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9	MIA +154
Jul 13th	@CIN	L 6-10	+1.5 L	O 9.5	CIN +124

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P	88	5	4	2
RJ.Butto, P	29	2	3	1
RP.Maton, P	13	1	0	0
RE.Diaz, P	28	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	2-4	2	2	2
2B.Nimmo, LF	1-5	0	0	0
3J.Martinez, DH	2-4	1	0	0
3B.Gamel, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3B.Gamel, DH	0-0	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
5D.Stewart, RF	0-2	1	0	0
5T.Taylor, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6F.Alvarez, C	0-5	0	0	0
7J.Iglesias, 3B	1-3	1	0	1
8J.McNeil, 2B	1-3	1	1	3
9H.Bader, CF	2-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RY.Chirinos, P	89	5	4	5
RH.Brazoban, P	23	2	2	0
RA.Bender, P	14	1	2	0
RJ.Chargois, P	20	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
2B.De La Cruz, RF	3-5	1	1	1
2B.De La Cruz, LF	3-5	1	1	1
3J.Bell, DH	1-3	1	1	2
4J.Burger, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
5O.Lopez, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5O.Lopez, CF	0-4	0	0	0
6X.Edwards, SS	1-3	1	0	0
7E.Rivera, 3B	1-2	0	0	0
7J.Sanchez, PH	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Sanchez, RF	0-2	0	0	0
8V.Brujan, CF	1-2	0	0	1
8V.Brujan, 3B	1-2	0	0	1
9A.Sanchez, C	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Gordon, PH	1-1	1	0	0