Braves vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - June 6, 2024

Braves at Nationals

10:45 pm • BSSE

Atlanta Braves

9-11

5 - 2

Washington Nationals

11-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Parker			4.29	7-10
R.Lopez			1.99	8-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 9-11	-1.5+105	o8.5-120	-162
Nationals 11-10	+1.5-125	u8.5+100	+136

Thursday 10:45 p.m.

June 06, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

R.Lopez u4.5 Ks+125

0.5u

R.Lopez u17.5 Outs-115

0.5u

ATL -135 (F5)

0.34u

Small to -147

Under 8.5+100

M.Parker u5.5 Hits Allowed+105

1.05u

Projection leans to the under in this spot and a +ev bet with devig odds of -119 over on Pinnacle giving us value at this number

WSH +1.5-110

Over 8.5-110

0.55u

Bet to -116

Featured Insight
Braves have won 63% of their games since the 2022 season -- second best in MLB. Nationals have won just 40% of their games since the 2022 season -- third worst.

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .423.

32% of Lane Thomas strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- tied for seventh highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 32% of Jesse Chavez strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- tied for 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Marcell Ozuna has 57 home runs since last season -- sixth most in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Kyle Finnegan has allowed 15 home runs since last season -- tied for 11th most among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 19 of 409 right-handed batters (5%) since the 2022 season -- 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% -- 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .118 (2-for-17) against Mitchell Parker when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days -- tied for 3rd best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .253 -- 96th Percentile.

Mitchell Parker has walked 2 of 81 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .198 (16-for-81) against Reynaldo Lopez on low fastballs since the 2022 season -- 8th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .272 -- 93rd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 5th	NYM	L 1-9	+1.5 L	O 9.5	NYM +120
Jun 4th	NYM	L 3-6	+1.5 L	U 9	NYM +120
Jun 3rd	NYM	L 7-8	+1.5 W	O 8	NYM -115
Jun 2nd	@CLE	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 8	WSH +111
Jun 1st	@CLE	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE +120

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Lopez, P	86	6	7	2
LA.Bummer, P	13	1	1	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	9	1	1	0
RR.Iglesias, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1O.Albies, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
2A.Riley, 3B	1-4	1	0	1
3M.Ozuna, DH	2-4	2	1	2
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5A.Duvall, LF	1-3	1	1	2
6S.Murphy, C	0-4	0	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	1-4	0	0	0
9B.Anderson, RF	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Martinez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Martinez, RF	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Parker, P	71	7	2	2
RH.Harvey, P	24	1	0	3
RJ.Barnes, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	1-4	1	1	1
2L.Thomas, RF	1-4	1	1	1
3J.Winker, LF	2-4	0	0	0
4L.Garcia, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
5K.Ruiz, C	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Meneses, DH	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Gallo, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
8N.Senzel, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Young, CF	0-3	0	0	0