Braves vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 28, 2022

Braves at Nationals

11:05 pm • MLB Network

Atlanta Braves

7-7

2 - 3

Washington Nationals

8-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 7-7	-1.5-127	o8.5-112	-215
Nationals 8-8	+1.5+110	u8.5-107	+180

Wednesday 11:05 p.m.

September 28, 2022

Nationals ParkWashington

WSH +1.5+108

0.54u

ATL -1.5-127

1.27u

J. Gray u5.5 Ks-136

0.74u

Available at FanDuel. Gray is working in a sinker more recently in order to combat the batted-ball issues he has had. In this seven-start stretch, his strikeout rate is down to 17.6%, and he has exceeded 5 strikeouts just once. He is at home, and he gets a decent bump there, but he's also facing a powerful Braves offense. There are multiple paths to an under here. I have Gray projected for 4.43 strikeouts.

WSH +190

0.95u

Wynn. Bet to +170

WSH +170 (F5)

0.85u

MGM. Bet to +156

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The Braves are 107-81 (.569) on the road since the 2020 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .465.

Austin Riley has an OPS of .884 this season -- ninth best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Josiah Gray has allowed an OPS of .826 (627 PAs) this season -- eighth worst among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP-- fifth Percentile.

Michael Harris is slugging .536 this season -- tied for seventh best among hitters with at least 229 total PA's-- 98th Percentile. Josiah Gray has allowed a SLG of .597 vs left-handed batters this season -- worst among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP-- first Percentile.

Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (772/1,713) on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 28% -- 100th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Jake Odorizzi since the start of last season is 385.0 feet -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 399.1

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 27th	ATL	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 8.5	ATL +180
Sep 26th	ATL	L 0-8	+1.5 L	U 9.5	ATL +210
Sep 25th	@MIA	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	WSH +150
Sep 24th	@MIA	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 6.5	MIA +180
Sep 23rd	@MIA	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 7	MIA +123

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ. Odorizzi, P	68	3.2	0	1
RJ.Chavez, P	14	1.1	0	0
LD.Lee, P	15	1	1	0
RR.Iglesias, P	18	1	0	0
LA.Minter, P	6	1	1	0
RK.Jansen, P	12	1	1	0
RJ.Stephens, P	16	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-5	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	0-5	1	0	0
3M.Harris, CF	1-5	0	0	0
4A.Riley, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5M.Olson, 1B	2-3	1	1	1
6T.d'Arnaud, C	0-4	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	2-4	0	0	0
8O.Arcia, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9R.Grossman, DH	0-2	0	0	0
9W.Contreras, PH	1-2	0	0	0
9W.Contreras, DH	1-2	0	0	0
9G. Heredia, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9G. Heredia, DH	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Gray, P	85	6	2	1
RH.Harvey, P	15	1	2	0
RC.Edwards, P	22	1	1	0
RK.Finnegan, P	21	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Thomas, RF	0-4	1	0
2C.Abrams, SS	3-5	1	1
3J.Meneses, 1B	0-4	0	0
4L. Voit, DH	1-3	0	2
5L.Garcia, 2B	0-3	0	0
6I.Vargas, 3B	0-4	0	0
7A.Call, LF	1-4	1	0
8V.Robles, CF	0-3	0	0
9R.Adams, C	0-2	0	0
9C. Hernández, PH	0-0	0	0