Braves vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - September 12, 2023

Braves at Phillies

10:40 pm • NBCS-PH

Atlanta Braves

7-4

7 - 6

Philadelphia Phillies

5-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Wheeler			3.61	13-6
M.Fried			2.55	8-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 7-4	-1.5+133	o8.5-110	-120
Phillies 5-8	+1.5-163	u8.5-110	+100

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

September 12, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

Over 8.5-110

ATL -123

0.81u

Fading my own team and the steam

PHI +108

@AnthonyDabbundo

PHI +110

PHI +108

Featured Insight
Phillies Left Handed Hitters have struck out 23% against RHP since last season -- ninth-highest in MLB. Braves have a strikeout rate of 25% vs left-handed batters since last season -- highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Braves have won 66% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- best in MLB. Phillies have won just 44% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- seventh-worst in MLB.

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The Braves are 9-10 (.474) after a loss as underdogs since last season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .406.

Nick Castellanos has struck out in 26% of PA's since last season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 11th Percentile. A.J. Minter has a strikeout rate of 33% since last season -- tied for ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

76% of fastball strikeouts for Ozzie Albies are located out of the zone this season -- highest in MLB-- 100th Percentile. 46% of Zack Wheeler fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.8 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (156 balls in play) -- tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .435 (196 PA's) with runners in scoring position since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .725 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 11th	ATL	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 10.5	PHI +105
Sep 11th	ATL	L 8-10	+1.5 L	O 10	ATL +143
Sep 10th	MIA	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9.5	MIA -173
Sep 9th	MIA	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 9	PHI -196
Sep 8th	MIA	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 9	MIA -140

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Weston Wilson
OF
Wilson is out with oblique
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	87	5	6	1
RM.Tonkin, P	39	2	3	1
RJ.Jimenez, P	17	0.1	0	3
LA.Minter, P	16	0.2	2	0
RR.Iglesias, P	24	1	1	1
LB. Hand, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-5	1	1	2
2O.Albies, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	2	1	1
5M.Ozuna, DH	2-5	1	1	3
5F.Wall, PR	0-0	1	0	0
5F.Wall, DH	0-0	1	0	0
6T.d'Arnaud, C	0-5	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	3-5	0	0	1
8O.Arcia, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Harris, CF	1-5	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Wheeler, P	96	5	4	6
RS.Dominguez, P	24	1.2	1	0
RY.Marte, P	17	1.1	1	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	24	1	2	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	20	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	3-5	1	1	2
3A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
4B.Harper, 1B	2-3	1	1	1
5J.Realmuto, C	1-5	0	0	0
6N.Castellanos, RF	2-5	2	1	1
7E.Sosa, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7B.Stott, PH	1-3	1	1	2
7B.Stott, 2B	1-3	1	1	2
8C.Pache, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, LF	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	2-4	1	0	0