Braves vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - September 12, 2023

Braves at Phillies

10:40 pm • NBCS-PH

Atlanta Braves

0-2

7 - 6

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Wheeler			3.61	13-6
M.Fried			2.55	8-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5+133	o8.5-110	-120
Phillies 1-3	+1.5-163	u8.5-110	+100

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

September 12, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

Over 8.5-110

ATL -123

0.81u

Fading my own team and the steam

PHI +108

@AnthonyDabbundo

PHI +110

PHI +108

Featured Insight
Phillies Left Handed Hitters have struck out 23% against RHP since last season -- ninth-highest in MLB. Braves have a strikeout rate of 25% vs left-handed batters since last season -- highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Braves have won 66% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- best in MLB. Phillies have won just 44% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- seventh-worst in MLB.

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The Braves are 9-10 (.474) after a loss as underdogs since last season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .406.

Nick Castellanos has struck out in 26% of PA's since last season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 11th Percentile. A.J. Minter has a strikeout rate of 33% since last season -- tied for ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

76% of fastball strikeouts for Ozzie Albies are located out of the zone this season -- highest in MLB-- 100th Percentile. 46% of Zack Wheeler fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.8 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (156 balls in play) -- tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .435 (196 PA's) with runners in scoring position since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .725 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 11th	ATL	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 10.5	PHI +105
Sep 11th	ATL	L 8-10	+1.5 L	O 10	ATL +143
Sep 10th	MIA	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9.5	MIA -173
Sep 9th	MIA	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 9	PHI -196
Sep 8th	MIA	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 9	MIA -140

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	87	5	6	1
RM.Tonkin, P	39	2	3	1
RJ.Jimenez, P	17	0.1	0	3
LA.Minter, P	16	0.2	2	0
RR.Iglesias, P	24	1	1	1
LB. Hand, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-5	1	1	2
2O.Albies, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	2	1	1
5M.Ozuna, DH	2-5	1	1	3
5F.Wall, PR	0-0	1	0	0
5F.Wall, DH	0-0	1	0	0
6T.d'Arnaud, C	0-5	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	3-5	0	0	1
8O.Arcia, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Harris, CF	1-5	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Wheeler, P	96	5	4	6
RS.Dominguez, P	24	1.2	1	0
RY.Marte, P	17	1.1	1	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	24	1	2	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	20	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	3-5	1	1	2
3A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
4B.Harper, 1B	2-3	1	1	1
5J.Realmuto, C	1-5	0	0	0
6N.Castellanos, RF	2-5	2	1	1
7E.Sosa, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7B.Stott, PH	1-3	1	1	2
7B.Stott, 2B	1-3	1	1	2
8C.Pache, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, LF	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	2-4	1	0	0