Braves vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - August 10, 2023

Braves at Pirates

4:35 pm • MLB Network

Atlanta Braves

0-2

5 - 7

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5-125	o10-101	-200
Pirates 0-0	+1.5+105	u10-118	+165

Thursday 4:35 p.m.

August 10, 2023

PNC ParkPittsburgh

Over 10-105

PIT +175

1.75u

PIT +1.5+105

2.1u

M.Olson o1.5 Total Bases-119

$4.20

A.Riley o0.5 HR+290

$5.00

M.Olson o0.5 HR+255

$12.75

A.Riley o1.5 Total Bases-135

$3.70

R.Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases-156

$5.00

B.Elder o3.5 Ks-150

$3.33

B.Reynolds o1.5 Total Bases-106

$4.72

J.Suwinski o1.5 Total Bases+112

$5.60

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-135

$3.70

ATL o5.5-128

$5.00

ATL -1.5-130

$5.00

Over 10-105

$4.76

Over 5.5 (F5)-110

0.91u

Bet365 8:19 EST.

PIT +185

1.85u

PIT +185

1.85u

PIT +185

0.93u

Bet to +162

Featured Insight
The Pirates have scored three or more runs in an inning just 73 times (5%) since last season -- eighth-lowest in MLB. Braves have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played since last season -- tied for second-lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Braves have scored 5.6 runs per game over the last week -- highest in MLB (118 games). The Pirates have allowed 4.9 runs per game over the last week -- sixth-highest in MLB (120 games).

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The Braves are 38-15 (.717) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .570.

35% of Ke'Bryan Hayes strikeouts are looking since last season -- fifth highest in MLB-- 96th Percentile. 33% of Sam Moll strikeouts are looking since last season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Jack Suwinski has struck out in 34% of PA's this season -- highest in MLB-- 0 Percentile. Fernando Cruz has a strikeout rate of 35% this season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Bryce Elder has struck out just 15% (39/261) of left-handed batters he faced this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% (207/385) against Bryce Elder this season -- 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 94th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 9th	ATL	L 5-6	+1.5 W	O 9.5	ATL +240
Aug 8th	ATL	L 6-8	+1.5 L	O 10	ATL +142
Aug 7th	ATL	W 7-6	+1.5 W	O 9	PIT +255
Aug 6th	@MIL	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	PIT +177
Aug 5th	@MIL	L 2-3	-	-	-

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Elder, P	87	5	5	5
RJ.Jimenez, P	18	1	1	0
LB. Hand, P	24	1	1	2
RM.Tonkin, P	10	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-4	0	0	1
2O.Albies, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	3-5	0	0	1
4M.Olson, 1B	2-5	1	1	1
5T.d'Arnaud, C	2-4	1	0	0
6M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	0	1
7O.Arcia, SS	1-3	1	1	1
8K.Pillar, LF	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Harris, CF	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	86	4	3	4
RT. Hatch, P	42	4	2	0
RC.Holderman, P	30	1	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Palacios, LF	0-4	1	0
2B.Reynolds, DH	2-4	2	0
3K.Hayes, 3B	2-5	1	3
4A.Rivas, 1B	0-3	0	1
5H.Davis, RF	1-3	1	0
6J.Suwinski, CF	1-3	1	0
7L.Peguero, SS	2-4	0	2
7L.Peguero, 2B	2-4	0	2
8J.Triolo, 2B	0-3	0	0
8A.Williams, SS	0-0	0	0
9J.Delay, C	2-4	1	1