Braves vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - August 8, 2023

Braves at Pirates

11:05 pm • SportsNet PT

Atlanta Braves

0-2

8 - 6

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Keller			4.21	13-9
Y.Chirinos			4.02	4-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5-105	o10-107	-171
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-114	u10-109	+142

Tuesday 11:05 p.m.

August 08, 2023

PNC ParkPittsburgh

Over 10-107

Under 10-110

0.55u

Bet to -120 or 9.5 (-102)

PIT +136

0.8u

Available at FanDuel. This requires buying into Mitch Keller against the Braves' offense, which is not an ideal proposition right now. But Keller does seem to have gotten a bit unlucky. In 13 starts with his slider usage up, his ERA is 5.92. But his peripherals -- while still not ideal -- all say that should be at least a full run lower. The Braves are starting Yonny Chirinos, who was let go by the Rays for a reason, and he hasn't lit the world on fire in his first two appearances with the Braves. The Pirates' offense still has a 102 wRC+ against righties on the active roster, so they're no total slouches. I wouldn't be shocked if they pull off another surprise after pummeling Spencer Strider last night.

Featured Insight
The Pirates have scored just 2.2 runs per game while leading since last season -- fourth-lowest in MLB (172 games). The Braves have allowed just 2.3 runs per game while trailing since last season -- fourth-lowest in MLB (161 games).

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Featured Insight
Braves have won 65% of their games since last season -- best in MLB. Pirates have won just 44% of their games since last season -- sixth-worst.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 7th	ATL	W 7-6	+1.5 W	O 9	PIT +255
Aug 6th	@MIL	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	PIT +177
Aug 5th	@MIL	L 2-3	-	-	-
Aug 5th	@MIL	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 9	PIT +152
Aug 3rd	@MIL	L 1-14	+1.5 L	O 8.5	MIL +109

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RY.Chirinos, P	87	5	5	6
RJ.Jimenez, P	14	1	2	0
LB. Hand, P	14	1	1	0
RK.Yates, P	18	1	2	0
RR.Iglesias, P	21	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-3	1	1	1
1F.Wall, PR	0-2	0	0	0
1F.Wall, LF	0-2	0	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-3	1	0	1
5T.d'Arnaud, C	3-5	0	0	2
5N.Lopez, PR	0-0	1	0	0
5S.Murphy, C	0-0	0	0	0
6M.Ozuna, DH	1-5	1	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	1-2	0	0	0
7K.Pillar, PH	1-3	1	0	1
7K.Pillar, RF	1-3	1	0	1
8O.Arcia, SS	3-5	1	1	3
9M.Harris, CF	2-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	91	5	4	3
LR.Borucki, P	8	0.1	0	2
RC.Holderman, P	20	0.2	1	0
RA. Jackson, P	30	2	4	0
RD.Bednar, P	24	1	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Palacios, RF	1-5	1	1	1
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-4	2	1	1
3A.McCutchen, DH	0-3	1	0	0
4J.Suwinski, CF	0-5	0	0	0
5K.Hayes, 3B	2-3	1	1	3
6A.Rivas, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
7L.Peguero, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8A.Williams, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Delay, C	1-3	0	0	0
9E.Rodriguez, PH	0-1	0	0	0