Braves vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - April 11, 2025

Braves at Rays

11:05 pm • FDSSUN
3 - 6
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Taj Bradley logoT.BradleyTampa Bay Rays logo3.712-0
Bryce Elder logoB.ElderAtlanta Braves logo7.200-1

Braves at Rays Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves
3-10
-1
+1.5-171
o9-115
+120
Rays
6-7
u8
-1.5+143
u9-105
-138
location pinFriday 11:05 p.m.
April 11, 2025
George M. Steinbrenner FieldTampa
Braves vs. Rays Expert Picks
The Degenerate
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 77-126-2 (-23.1u)
T.Bradley o8.5 Ks+450
0.25u
T.Bradley o6.5 Ks+114
1.14u
T.Bradley o7.5 Ks+230
0.5u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 48-53-1 (-11.4u)
TB -135
1.48u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 114-119-0 (-22.4u)
ATL u4.5 Team Total-125
2u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 118-130-5 (+7.8u)
ATL +126
2u
#BQ
Sir Lockselot
Sir Lockselot
Last 30d: 39-70-0 (-28.4u)
T.Bradley o6.5 Ks+120
2.4u
🔑 Taj Bradley o6.5Ks +120 (FanDuel) 2u Bradley has hit this over in both starts this year. Braves are striking out a ton to start the season. BetAlytics model gives this a 5 ⭐️ grade, projected 6.79K and a 83.4% expected win probability. Join 👉🔗 https://www.BetAlytics.com/ Promo code: LOCKSELOT for 25% off
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 73-54-3 (+3.9u)
T.Bradley u6.5 Ks-138
1.04u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 37-44-0 (-4.4u)
T.Bradley u6.5 Ks-138
1.38u
Projecting closer to -180
Picks  Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 91-68-3 (+19.7u)
TB -115
0.87u
Tampa crushing RHP at home – .287 avg, .357 OBP Braves road collapse – 0-7 away, 2.0 runs/game Rasmussen dominance – 0.90 ERA, 0.60 WHIP, 10 IP Braves 0-7 on the road – just 2.0 runs/game, .151 avg. Rays 5-4 at home, hit .257 with 4.0+ runs/game. ATL pen shaky on the road – 5.40 ERA, 1.37 WHIP. Tampa’s bats click at home, Braves ice cold on grass (3-11). ATL offense just not showing up right now. Drew Rasmussen dialed in – 0.90 ERA, 0.60 WHIP in 10 IP. Rays pen nasty at home – 3.48 ERA, 0.97 WHIP. Braves vs RHP on road: .167 avg, .266 OBP. Tampa vs RHP at home: .287 avg, .357 OBP. ATL hitting .113 vs LHP on road too. Massive split issues all over. Rays lineup barrels up – Misner, Lowe, Aranda all over 55% HardHit. Braves weak contact – Arcia (.187 xBA), Kelenic (.164 xBA), Harris (-1.4 LA°). ATL no power threat away. Matchup favors TB in every phase – arms, pen, lineup, location.
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 99-118-5 (-32.9u)
TB -140
0.71u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 100-114-0 (-12.0u)
TB -1.5+155
1.16u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 203-232-5 (-21.0u)
TB -140
1u
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 171-178-3 (-12.6u)
J.Aranda o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110
1u
K.Misner o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+120
1.2u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 351-443-17 (+12.7u)
J.Aranda o0.5 HR+560
0.2u
5.5% ev
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 31-77-2 (+6.7u)
M.Ozuna o0.5 HR+400
2u
A.Riley o0.5 HR+400
0.5u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 108-118-12 (-11.3u)
ATL o4.5 Team Total+100
1u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 73-88-2 (-14.0u)
TB -125
0.8u
Degen is somewhere smiling
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 96-92-5 (-0.2u)
TB -120
0.83u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 130-157-12 (-7.4u)
Over 8.5-105
0.25u
Update: Bet to 9 (-110)
Over 8-115
0.5u
Update: Bet to 9 (-110)

Braves vs. Rays Previews & Analysis

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    Neiffer's Friday Home Run Prop Bets

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Braves vs. Rays Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Braves

Public

41%

Bets%

59%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Rays
4-94-60-34-50-3
Braves
5-83-22-63-42-4

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Rays
4-8-13-6-11-23-5-11-2
Braves
4-7-22-32-4-23-41-3-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Rays
6-76-40-36-30-3
Braves
3-103-20-83-40-6

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Apr 10thLAAL 1-11-O 8.5LAA -120
Apr 9thLAAW 5-4-1.5 LO 7.5TB -152
Apr 8thLAAL 3-4-1.5 LU 8.5LAA -179
Apr 6th@TEXL 3-4-1.5 LU 8TEX -111
Apr 5th@TEXL 4-6+1.5 LO 7.5TEX +160

Braves vs. Rays Injury Updates

Braves Injuries

  • Ronald Acuna
    OF

    Acuna is out with knee

    Out

  • Joe Jimenez
    P

    Jimenez is out with knee

    Out

  • Spencer Strider
    P

    Strider is out with elbow

    Out

  • Nacho Alvarez
    IF

    Alvarez is out with wrist

    Out

Rays Injuries

  • Josh Lowe
    OF

    Lowe is out with oblique

    Out

  • Alex Faedo
    P

    Faedo is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Shane McClanahan
    P

    McClanahan is out with triceps

    Out

  • Richie Palacios
    IF

    Palacios is out with finger

    Out

  • Ha-Seong Kim
    IF

    Kim is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Jonny DeLuca
    OF

    DeLuca is out with shoulder

    Out

Braves vs. Rays Box Score
Braves Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Bryce Elder logoRB.Elder, P92645
Zach Thompson logoRZ.Thompson, P201.110
Pierce Johnson logoRP.Johnson, P140.211
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Michael Harris logo1M.Harris, CF1-5000
Austin Riley logo2A.Riley, 3B2-4100
Marcell Ozuna logo3M.Ozuna, DH1-3111
Matt Olson logo4M.Olson, 1B1-4001
Ozzie Albies logo5O.Albies, 2B1-3111
Bryan De La Cruz logo6B.De La Cruz, LF0-4000
Jarred Kelenic logo7J.Kelenic, RF1-2000
Stuart Fairchild logo7S.Fairchild, PH0-2000
Stuart Fairchild logo7S.Fairchild, RF0-2000
Drake Baldwin logo8D.Baldwin, C1-4000
Orlando Arcia logo9O.Arcia, SS0-4000
Rays Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Taj Bradley logoRT.Bradley, P93671
Mason Montgomery logoLM.Montgomery, P8110
Edwin Uceta logoRE.Uceta, P14112
Pete Fairbanks logoRP.Fairbanks, P17100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Yandy Diaz logo1Y.Diaz, DH2-4000
Brandon Lowe logo2B.Lowe, 2B0-3001
Junior Caminero logo3J.Caminero, 3B0-4000
Jose Caballero logo3J.Caballero, 3B0-0000
Jonathan Aranda logo4J.Aranda, 1B0-4000
Christopher Morel logo5C.Morel, LF3-4211
Kameron Misner logo6K.Misner, CF2-4200
Danny Jansen logo7D.Jansen, C3-4114
Jake Mangum logo8J.Mangum, RF0-4000
Taylor Walls logo9T.Walls, SS1-2100

Braves vs. Rays Odds Comparison

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Braves at Rays Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Braves
3-10
o4.5+105
u4.5-135
Rays
6-7
o4.5-116
u4.5-111