Braves vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - June 5, 2024

Braves at Red Sox

5:35 pm • NESN

Atlanta Braves

0-7

0 - 9

Boston Red Sox

3-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Pivetta			4.14	6-12
S.Schwellenbach			3.35	8-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-7	-1.5+147	o10-110	-108
Red Sox 3-4	+1.5-173	u10-110	-112

Wednesday 5:35 p.m.

June 05, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

BOS -104

$50.00

BOS -130 (F5)

BOS o4.5 Team Total-130

R.Devers o1.5 Total Bases-125

0.8u

M.Ozuna o1.5 Total Bases-140

N.Pivetta u17.5 Outs-130

1.3u

Under in 5/7. Perennially a high pitch per PA guy: 4.05 last year was 11th amongst qualifiers, 3.96 this year. Essentially has had to pitch an extremely clean game to get through 6 IP - and he doesn’t have a long leash the third time through. Sox pen is very rested with an off day Monday and one reliever used Tuesday. Braves core hitters mostly with a solid history vs Pivetta, including 4 IP, 7 H, 5 ER earlier this season. And nice hitting conditions tomorrow - ball should carry and Pivetta is an extreme fly ball pitcher.

Featured Insight
Braves hitters have a hard-hit rate of 45% over the last two weeks -- third best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 46% against the Red Sox RPs over the last two weeks -- third worst in MLB.

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The Braves are 29-44 (.397) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .262.

The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .423.

The Red Sox are just 25-27 (.481) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Red Sox are just 49-65 (.430) after a loss since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.

Rafael Devers has an OPS of .872 since the 2022 season -- 11th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Jake Woodford has allowed an OPS of .796 (430 PAs) since the 2022 season -- seventh worst among qualified RPs-- fourth Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .170 (442 PA's) with two-strikes since last season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .245 -- 98th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .784 (192 Total Bases / 245 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .574 -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 4-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	4-3	N/A	4-3	2-1	2-2
Braves	2-5	N/A	2-5	0-2	2-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	2-5	N/A	2-5	0-3	2-2
Braves	2-4-1	N/A	2-4-1	1-1	1-3-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	3-4	N/A	3-4	2-1	1-3
Braves	0-7	N/A	0-7	0-2	0-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 4th	ATL	L 3-8	+1.5 L	O 8	ATL +136
Jun 2nd	DET	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 9.5	DET -159
Jun 1st	DET	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -115
May 31st	DET	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -173
May 30th	DET	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 7	DET -122

Sean Murphy
C
Murphy is out with ribs
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out
Nacho Alvarez
IF
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out with hamstring
Out
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is out with shoulder
Out
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Schwellenbach, P	85	4.2	4	6
LR.Kerr, P	49	2.1	2	2
RJ.Herget, P	27	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Harris, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Riley, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
2B.Anderson, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	0-3	0	0	0
3Z.Short, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
5O.Albies, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
6T.d'Arnaud, C	0-3	0	0	0
7A.Duvall, RF	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Kelenic, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Martinez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Martinez, LF	0-1	0	0	0
9O.Arcia, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RN.Pivetta, P	91	7	9
RZ.Kelly, P	12	1	2
RB.Keller, P	13	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	2-5	2	1	1
2E.Valdez, 2B	1-4	1	0	1
2J.Westbrook, PH	1-1	0	0	0
2J.Westbrook, 2B	1-1	0	0	0
3R.Refsnyder, DH	2-5	1	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	2-3	3	2	3
4B.Dalbec, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
5T.O'Neill, RF	2-4	1	0	1
6D.Smith, 1B	2-3	1	0	1
7D.Hamilton, SS	1-3	0	0	1
8C.Rafaela, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9R.McGuire, C	0-3	0	0	1