Tigers vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - June 2, 2024

Tigers at Red Sox

5:35 pm • BSDET

Detroit Tigers

9-9

8 - 4

Boston Red Sox

11-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Bello			4.49	14-8
C.Mize			4.49	2-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 9-9	+1.5-155	o9.5-112	+134
Red Sox 11-8	-1.5+130	u9.5-107	-159

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

June 02, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

DET +135

1.35u

DET +130 (F5)

1.5u

Over 9-105

0.5u

Bet to -108

BOS -1.5+140

$50.00

@mbiever POD

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

DET +127

1.27u

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Featured Insight
The Red Sox have scored 5.4 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- fifth highest in MLB (8 games). The Tigers have allowed 5.5 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB (6 games).

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MLB NRFI Picks: 3 Model Predictions for Sunday
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The Red Sox are just 25-27 (.481) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.

The Tigers are 43-16 (.729) when they've scored in the first inning since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .617.

The Red Sox are just 49-64 (.434) after a loss since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .492.

Javier Baez has an OPS of just .565 since last season -- second worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Kirby Yates has allowed an OPS of just .562 (332 PAs) since last season -- 14th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .366 (41-for-112) against Casey Mize this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .240 -- first Percentile.

Brayan Bello has allowed a slugging percentage of .786 (22 Total Bases / 28 ABs) on fastballs away this season -- tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .357 -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (140/231) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since last season -- tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 1st	DET	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -115
May 31st	DET	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -173
May 30th	DET	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 7	DET -122
May 29th	@BAL	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 7	BAL +153
May 28th	@BAL	W 8-3	+1.5 W	O 8	BOS +150

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable

Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

Alex Cobb
P
Cobb is out with hip
Out
Jose Urquidy
P
Urquidy is out with arm
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Mize, P	82	4	4	2
LT.Holton, P	24	2.1	1	0
RA.Faedo, P	15	1.1	0	1
RJ.Foley, P	8	1	0	0
LA.Chafin, P	22	1.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Vierling, 3B	2-6	1	0
1M.Vierling, CF	2-6	1	0
2R.Greene, CF	2-4	1	0
2R.Greene, LF	2-4	1	0
3W.Perez, RF	3-5	2	1
4M.Canha, DH	1-4	1	1
5C.Keith, 2B	0-4	0	0
5A.Ibanez, PH	1-1	1	1
5A.Ibanez, 2B	1-1	1	1
6G.Urshela, 1B	1-4	1	1
7A.Baddoo, LF	1-3	0	0
7J.Rogers, PH	0-1	0	0
7Z.McKinstry, 3B	0-0	0	0
8J.Baez, SS	1-5	1	2
9C.Kelly, C	2-5	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	95	6.1	5	4
RJ.Slaten, P	10	0.2	1	0
RG.Weissert, P	7	1	1	0
RK.Jansen, P	17	1	1	0
LC.Booser, P	28	1	0	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	2-3	0	0	1
1J.Duran, CF	2-3	0	0	1
2W.Abreu, RF	1-4	1	0	0
2J.Westbrook, PH	0-0	0	0	0
2J.Westbrook, RF	0-0	0	0	0
3D.Smith, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
3C.Wong, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3B.Dalbec, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	2-4	1	1	2
5E.Valdez, 2B	1-5	0	0	1
6G.Cooper, DH	0-5	0	0	0
7R.McGuire, C	0-4	0	0	0
8C.Rafaela, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8C.Rafaela, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9D.Hamilton, SS	1-2	1	0	0
9R.Refsnyder, PH	1-2	0	0	0
9R.Refsnyder, LF	1-2	0	0	0