Brewers vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - May 18, 2024

Brewers at Astros

11:10 pm • BSWI

Milwaukee Brewers

1-2

4 - 2

Houston Astros

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Verlander			5.48	5-6
B.Wilson			4.04	5-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 1-2	+1.5-141	o8.5-103	+150
Astros 0-2	-1.5+118	u8.5-116	-180

Saturday 11:10 p.m.

May 18, 2024

Daikin ParkHouston

J.Verlander o1.5 BB-125

Verlander with 2, 3, 3 and 4 walks in his L4 starts. Struggling specifically against lefties (9 walks in 60 PA), and he gets 5 in the lineup today. Brewers have drawn 2+ walks from 18/L25 righty starters, and have the 10th highest BB% vs righties over the L30 days. As a team, they take a ton of pitches (lowest swing rate).

HOU -1-120

J.Pena o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-125

1.25u

Under 8.5-110

HOU -1.5+125

MIL +1.5-147

$1000.00

B.Wilson u3.5 Ks+112

1.12u

Projection leans under and +ev bet with devig odds of -108

MIL +149

0.75u

Superbook. Bet to +140

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-111

0.56u

Featured Insight
The Brewers have scored 5.2 runs per game at home this season -- third highest in MLB (21 games). The Astros have allowed 5.7 runs per game on the road this season -- highest in MLB (21 games).

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Featured Insight
Astros RPs have a strikeout rate of 31% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- third highest in MLB. Brewers left-handed hitters have struck out 30% against RHP over the last week -- highest in MLB.

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The Astros are 86-17 (.835) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .787.

Christian Yelich is slugging just .328 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- fifth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Justin Verlander has thrown a breaking pitch 46% of the time since the 2022 season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Willy Adames has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for 12th highest in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Josh Hader has a strikeout rate of 37% since the 2022 season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (157/807) against Bryse Wilson since last season -- 3rd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 28% -- third Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 4% (1/23) against Justin Verlander over the last 14 days -- lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% -- second Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 41-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Astros' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 18th	MIL	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 7.5	HOU -108
May 17th	ATH	W 8-1	-1.5 W	U 9	HOU -205
May 16th	ATH	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 9	HOU -250
May 15th	ATH	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8.5	HOU -185
May 14th	ATH	W 9-2	-1.5 W	O 9	HOU -177

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Wilson, P	58	4.2	3	2
LH.Milner, P	13	1.1	1	0
RE.Peguero, P	10	1	1	0
LB.Hudson, P	21	1	1	0
RT.Megill, P	16	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	1-4	1	1	3
3C.Yelich, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Bauers, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Ortiz, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
7S.Frelick, RF	0-3	1	0	0
8J.Chourio, LF	2-3	1	0	0
9B.Perkins, CF	1-2	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Verlander, P	98	4.2	3	4
RS.Martinez, P	33	2.1	0	0
LP.Mushinski, P	23	2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2K.Tucker, RF	0-2	0	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4A.Bregman, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Pena, SS	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Singleton, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
7Y.Diaz, C	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Meyers, CF	3-4	2	1	1
9M.Dubon, LF	1-3	0	0	1
9V.Caratini, PH	0-1	0	0	0