MIL @ PHI
8:05 pm • NBCS-PHStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 3.48 | 10-4 | |
 |  | 6.23 | 0-2 |
Brewers vs. Phillies Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Brewers 52-37 | +1.5-135 | o8.5-120 | +144 | |
Phillies 58-30 | -1.5+114 | u8.5+100 | -171 | |
Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia
PRO Insights
Brewers
MIL Insights
- Featured InsightBrewers have won 58% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- tied for fifth best in MLB. Phillies have won just 41% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.
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Phillies
PHI Insights
- Featured InsightPhillies have a strikeout rate of 25% vs right-handed batters since last season -- second highest in MLB. Brewers right-handed hitters have struck out 24% against LHP since last season -- fifth highest in MLB.
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Brewers vs. Phillies Game Analysis
Brewers vs. Phillies Notes
Keys to the Game
The Phillies are 20-69 (.225) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Brewers are 35-29 (.547) after a road win since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Phillies are just 8-13 (.381) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Matchup Contrasts
40% of Alec Bohm strikeouts are looking this season -- tied for ninth highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. 50% of Hoby Milner strikeouts are looking this season -- tied for third highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.
Willy Adames has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for 12th highest in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Jose Alvarado has a strikeout rate of 35% since the 2022 season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Aaron Ashby has had third base stolen on him 6 times since the 2022 season -- tied for 13th most in MLB -- 97th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (285/785) when he's behind in the count since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total CB; League Avg: 10% -- 99th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (414/1,284) when he's behind in the count since the 2022 season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total CB; League Avg: 10% -- 97th Percentile.
Brewers vs. Phillies Expert Picks
Popular Props
Last 5 Matchups
Betting Trends
- Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Phillies are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Phillies are 22-19 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Phillies' 47 last games at home
Brewers vs. Phillies Public Betting
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Brewers vs. Phillies Injury Updates
Brewers Injuries
Rob Zastryzny
PZastryzny is out with arm
Out
Brandon Woodruff
PWoodruff is out with shoulder
Out
DL Hall
PHall is out with knee
Out
Joey Ortiz
IFOrtiz is out with neck
Out
Phillies Injuries
Taijuan Walker
PWalker is out with finger
Out
Kyle Schwarber
DHSchwarber is out with groin
Out
Bryce Harper
IFHarper is out with hamstring
Out
Spencer Turnbull
PTurnbull is out with back
Out
Brewers vs. Phillies Box Score
Brewers Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA.Ashby, P | 91 | 5 | 3 | 2 | |
| RE.Paredes, P | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| LH.Milner, P | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| RJ.Payamps, P | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1B.Turang, 2B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1A.Monasterio, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2W.Contreras, DH | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3C.Yelich, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4W.Adames, SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5R.Hoskins, 1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6S.Frelick, RF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7J.Ortiz, 3B | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8G.Sanchez, C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9B.Perkins, CF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Phillies Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RA.Nola, P | 93 | 7 | 5 | 0 | |
| RJ.Hoffman, P | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| LJ.Alvarado, P | 21 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1K.Schwarber, DH | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2N.Castellanos, RF | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 3B.Harper, 1B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4A.Bohm, 3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5B.Stott, 2B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6E.Sosa, SS | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7W.Merrifield, LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8G.Stubbs, C | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 9C.Pache, CF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Line Move Data
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Brewers vs. Phillies Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Brewers 52-37 | N/A | N/A |
Phillies 58-30 | N/A | N/A |