Brewers vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - June 5, 2024

Brewers at Phillies

8:05 pm • NBCS-PH

Milwaukee Brewers

12-9

0 - 2

Philadelphia Phillies

9-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Nola			3.57	14-8
A.Ashby			2.86	1-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 12-9	+1.5	+1.5-135	o8.5-120	+144
Phillies 9-9	u9	-1.5+114	u8.5+100	-171

Wednesday 8:05 p.m.

June 05, 2024

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

A.Nola u18.5 Outs-146

0.73u

If @SBK5065 posts under 18.5 outs I’m in

Over 8.5-120

$1200.00

Under 8.5+100

1.5u

MIL +145

A.Nola o2.5 Earned Runs+100

0.5u

Over 8.5-120

$60.00

N.Castellanos o1.5 Total Bases+115

1.15u

Projection leans to the over in this spot and a +ev bet with devig odds of -116 over on Pinnacle giving us value at this number

A.Bohm o1.5 Total Bases+105

Projection leans to the over in this spot and a +ev bet with devig odds of -119 over on Pinnacle giving us value at this number

A.Ashby o4.5 Ks+110

A.Nola o7.5 Ks+180

0.5u

Send me to Cancun Aaron

A.Nola o8.5 Ks+360

0.25u

Need a paris vacation like oxygen

Over 8.5-115

0.58u

Bet to -120 or 9 (-102)

MIL +154

0.75u

A.Nola o6.5 Ks+105

Under in L3 starts - demon home pussy

PHI -1.5+110

1.1u

Here’s comes the sun doo doo doo doo

PHI o4.5 Team Total-130

This has to hit eventually and I will be there

PHI -180 (F5)

1.11u

Aaron “Elephant Trunk” Nola

Over 9-114

$57.00

Featured Insight
Brewers have won 58% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- tied for fifth best in MLB. Phillies have won just 41% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Phillies have a strikeout rate of 25% vs right-handed batters since last season -- second highest in MLB. Brewers right-handed hitters have struck out 24% against LHP since last season -- fifth highest in MLB.

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The Phillies are 20-69 (.225) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .145.

The Brewers are 35-29 (.547) after a road win since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Phillies are just 8-13 (.381) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

40% of Alec Bohm strikeouts are looking this season -- tied for ninth highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. 50% of Hoby Milner strikeouts are looking this season -- tied for third highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Willy Adames has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for 12th highest in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Jose Alvarado has a strikeout rate of 35% since the 2022 season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Aaron Ashby has had third base stolen on him 6 times since the 2022 season -- tied for 13th most in MLB -- 97th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (285/785) when he's behind in the count since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total CB; League Avg: 10% -- 99th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (414/1,284) when he's behind in the count since the 2022 season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total CB; League Avg: 10% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 4th	MIL	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 9	PHI -157
Jun 3rd	MIL	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8	PHI -199
Jun 2nd	STL	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9.5	STL -141
Jun 1st	STL	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 7	PHI -166
May 31st	STL	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8	PHI -207

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is questionable with back
Questionable

Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Blake Perkins
OF
Perkins is out with leg
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Weston Wilson
OF
Wilson is out with oblique
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Ashby, P	91	5	3	2
RE.Paredes, P	15	1	0	0
LH.Milner, P	14	1	0	0
RJ.Payamps, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
1A.Monasterio, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2W.Contreras, DH	2-4	0	0	0
3C.Yelich, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5R.Hoskins, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6S.Frelick, RF	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Ortiz, 3B	1-2	0	0	0
8G.Sanchez, C	0-3	0	0	0
9B.Perkins, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RA.Nola, P	93	7	5
RJ.Hoffman, P	13	1	1
LJ.Alvarado, P	21	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-4	0	0	0
2N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	1	1	2
3B.Harper, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
4A.Bohm, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5B.Stott, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
6E.Sosa, SS	0-3	0	0	0
7W.Merrifield, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8G.Stubbs, C	0-1	1	0	0
9C.Pache, CF	0-2	0	0	0