Brewers vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 6, 2024

Brewers at Royals

11:10 pm • BSWI

Milwaukee Brewers

1-2

2 - 3

Kansas City Royals

3-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Ragans			3.14	11-9
B.Wilson			4.04	5-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 1-2	+1.5-170	o8.5-119	+119
Royals 3-3	-1.5+143	u8.5-102	-140

Monday 11:10 p.m.

May 06, 2024

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

Under 8.5-104

C.Ragans o6.5 Ks-102

With the game moving up to a 6:10pm CST start time, it looks like we’ll avoid the rain (at the least, we’ll avoid a delay while Ragans is pitching). But he’s over in 4/7, and this is a good spot. Brewers have hardly faced any lefty starters, but they’re at a 25.5% K% vs lefties, and a 85 wRC+. Overall, MIL has a 29% CSW% (4th highest), and Ragans stuff is too good to avoid Ks in 2-strike counts. Brewers at a 32% K% vs power pitchers.

MIL +124

B.Wilson u16.5 Outs-110

0.5u

@Dziefel7

Under 8.5-110

0.5u

MIL +126

C.Ragans u7.5 Ks-150

MIL +133

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to +122

Featured Insight
Brewers have won 57% of their games on the road since last season -- fifth best in MLB. Royals have won just 31% of their games on the road since last season -- second worst.

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The Brewers are 21-11 (.656) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .453.

Willy Adames is batting just .225 since last season -- 11th worst in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .201 (78-for-388) against Cole Ragans since last season -- tied for seventh best among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (165/910) against Bryse Wilson since the 2022 season -- 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 29% -- second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .333 (18-for-54) against Cole Ragans when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 -- seventh Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (83/446) against Bryse Wilson since last season -- 3rd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 28% -- third Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Royals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 5th	TEX	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	TEX +114
May 4th	TEX	L 4-15	+1.5 L	O 8.5	TEX -108
May 3rd	TEX	W 7-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	KC -119
May 1st	@TOR	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 8	KC +120
Apr 30th	@TOR	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	KC +107

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Wilson, P	89	6	6	0
LJ.Koenig, P	16	0.1	1	3
RE.Peguero, P	7	0	0	0
LH.Milner, P	15	1.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Contreras, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2J.Ortiz, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
2B.Turang, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
3R.Hoskins, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
3T.Black, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	1-4	1	0	0
5B.Perkins, CF	0-3	0	0	0
6G.Sanchez, C	1-4	1	1	2
7S.Frelick, RF	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Chourio, LF	1-3	0	0	0
9A.Monasterio, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
9O.Dunn, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9O.Dunn, 3B	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Ragans, P	95	6	8	2
RN.Anderson, P	11	1	2	0
RT.Duffey, P	13	0.1	0	0
LW.Smith, P	4	0.2	0	0
RC.Stratton, P	21	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Garcia, 3B	1-2	0	0	2
2B.Witt, SS	0-2	0	0	0
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4S.Perez, C	1-3	0	0	0
4G.Hampson, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4G.Hampson, LF	0-0	0	0	0
5M.Massey, 2B	1-3	1	1	1
6H.Renfroe, RF	1-4	0	0	0
7M.Melendez, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7N.Velazquez, PH	0-1	1	0	0
7N.Velazquez, LF	0-1	1	0	0
7F.Fermin, C	0-0	0	0	0
8A.Frazier, DH	0-2	1	0	0
9D.Blanco, CF	1-3	0	0	0