Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 27, 2022

Cardinals at Brewers

11:40 pm • MLB Network

St. Louis Cardinals

0-0

6 - 2

Milwaukee Brewers

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Houser			4.73	6-10
M.Mikolas			3.29	12-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 0-0	-1.5+140	o8.5-110	-120
Brewers 1-2	+1.5-167	u8.5-110	+104

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

September 27, 2022

American Family FieldMilwaukee

STL -114

Under 8+100

0.5u

DK. Bet to -108

STL -115 (F5)

0.5u

MGM. Need -115 or better

STL +100

On FanDuel for Tuesday. It's a high-motivation spot for both teams, meaning we can analyze this one straight up. Doing so favors the Cardinals for me. My numbers put them at 56.4% to win, up from 50% implied. Most of that is due to the rough peripherals Adrian Houser has had since returning from injury. He hasn't gotten knocked around in each outing, but the Cardinals' offense is a tough one to face if you're not fully on. Miles Mikolas is pitching well enough for me to buy into this one on both sides.

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The Cardinals are 98-87 (.530) on the road since the 2020 season -- 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .465.

Nolan Arenado is batting .326 on fastballs this season -- tied for 10th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 66% of the time this season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

Paul Goldschmidt has 5 home runs on fastballs down this season -- tied for 10th most in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Adrian Houser has located his fastball down 49% of the time this season -- second highest among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP-- 99th Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (658/1,433) vs left-handed batters this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% -- 96th Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has walked 9 of 279 batters (3%) versus the top of the order this season -- tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 25th	@CIN	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CIN -148
Sep 24th	@CIN	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	MIL -220
Sep 23rd	@CIN	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8.5	MIL -167
Sep 22nd	@CIN	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	MIL -175
Sep 21st	NYM	W 6-0	+1.5 W	U 9	MIL +115

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Sonny Gray
P
Gray is out with arm
Out
Willson Contreras
C
Contreras is out with finger
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Mikolas, P	102	6	9	1
RA.Pallante, P	15	1	0	1
RR.Helsley, P	25	2	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Donovan, 2B	1-2	1	0	0
1J.Yepez, PH	1-1	0	0	1
1P.DeJong, SS	0-1	0	0	0
2L.Nootbaar, RF	1-5	1	0	0
2L.Nootbaar, LF	1-5	1	0	0
3P.Goldschmidt, 1B	2-4	0	0	2
4N.Arenado, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5C. Dickerson, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5B. DeLuzio, CF	0-1	0	0	0
6A. Pujols, DH	0-3	1	0	0
7D.Carlson, CF	2-4	2	0	0
7D.Carlson, RF	2-4	2	0	0
8A.Knizner, C	1-4	1	1	2
9T.Edman, SS	1-2	0	0	0
9T.Edman, 2B	1-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Houser, P	74	3.1	3	3
LB.Suter, P	17	1	1	2
RT.Gott, P	31	1.1	0	1
LH.Milner, P	21	1.1	1	0
LT.Rogers, P	16	1.1	2	0
RP.Strzelecki, P	19	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Yelich, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2W.Adames, SS	1-4	0	0	0
3R.Tellez, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
4H.Renfroe, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5K. Wong, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
6K.Hiura, DH	0-3	1	0	0
7J. Peterson, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8O.Narvaez, C	0-4	0	0	0
9G.Mitchell, CF	2-3	0	0	1