Cardinals vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - May 26, 2023

Cardinals at Guardians

11:10 pm • BSGL

St. Louis Cardinals

9-11

3 - 4

Cleveland Guardians

10-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Bieber			3.80	6-6
M.Liberatore			5.25	3-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 9-11	-1.5+162	o8-108	+100
Guardians 10-9	+1.5-194	u8-110	-118

Friday 11:10 p.m.

May 26, 2023

Progressive FieldCleveland

Under 7.5-110

N.Gorman o0.5 Hits-209

0.5u

CLE o3.5-120

STL -103

1.03u

S.Bieber u5.5 Ks-122

Biebs is under this line in 8/10 starts, failing to get even 5 Ks in those 8 unders. STL with a 21.2 K% vs RHP this season (and 21.5% over the L2 weeks), and a slightly below average CSW% overall.

CLE -115

0.87u

STL -102

Available at FanDuel. This has moved a decent amount against open, so I'm not getting the best number, but I'm still showing value. My model puts the Cardinals' win odds at 56.7%, up from 50.5% implied. Shane Bieber bounced back in a big way in his most recent start, lasting eight innings. It's tied to increased velocity on his curveball. But he's still letting up a dangerous amount of hard contact that could come back to bite him soon. Matthew Liberatore looked great in his first start, carrying gains from Triple-A into the big leagues. Even at -102, there's still value in St. Louis.

CLE -0.5 (F5)+110

1.76u

STL +110

0.5u

Bet to +108

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The Guardians are just 12-10 (.545) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .737.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 5-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	8-11	3-3	5-8	5-3	3-7
Cardinals	10-10	8-4	2-6	1-4	8-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	9-8-2	2-4	7-4-2	5-3	4-4-2
Cardinals	11-8-1	6-6	5-2-1	4-1	6-7-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	10-9	5-1	5-8	7-1	3-7
Cardinals	9-11	8-4	1-7	1-4	7-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 24th	CWS	L 0-6	-1.5 L	U 8	CWS -142
May 23rd	CWS	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CWS -130
May 22nd	CWS	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	CLE -125
May 21st	@NYM	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7	NYM +120
May 21st	@NYM	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM +125

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
Slade Cecconi
P
Cecconi is out with oblique
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Liberatore, P	91	5	2	4
RC.Stratton, P	25	2	3	0
RA.Pallante, P	6	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Nootbaar, CF	3-4	1	1
2P.Goldschmidt, 1B	2-4	0	0
3N.Gorman, DH	0-4	0	0
4N.Arenado, 3B	0-3	0	1
5W.Contreras, C	0-3	0	0
6B.Donovan, RF	2-4	1	0
7P.DeJong, SS	0-4	0	0
8A.Burleson, LF	0-2	0	1
9T.Edman, 2B	1-3	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Bieber, P	108	6.2	2	2
RT.Stephan, P	24	0.2	0	0
RE.De Los Santos, P	2	0.2	0	0
RE.Clase, P	32	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-4	1	1
2A.Rosario, SS	1-3	0	3
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	0	0
4J.Bell, DH	0-4	0	0
5J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	0	0
6G.Arias, RF	0-2	0	0
6W.Brennan, RF	0-0	0	0
7A.Gimenez, 2B	0-2	1	0
8M. Zunino, C	2-3	1	0
9M.Straw, CF	1-3	1	0