Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 29, 2023

Cubs at Cardinals

11:15 pm • BSMW

Chicago Cubs

0-0

5 - 1

St. Louis Cardinals

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A. Wainwright			7.40	5-11
J.Taillon			4.84	8-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 0-0	-1.5+148	o10-105	-110
Cardinals 0-0	+1.5-176	u10-116	-110

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

July 29, 2023

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

Over 10-103

1.03u

CHC -112 (Live)

$50.00

CHC -110

CHC -110 (F5)

J.Taillon u16.5 Outs-105

1.05u

Under in 12/17 this season, and although a bunch of the overs have come recently, I like the Cards to chase him in this familiar matchup. 2.2 IP vs STL back in May, and 5.2 IP in his last start - but it took him a season high 109 pitches and it was against a very watered down STL lineup (no Goldy, Contreras or Gorman). He should see 5 LHH, which is his worse split (.942 OPS). Cards bats have been hot - 123 wRC+ over the L30 days vs righties, and the Cubs pen is in good shape.

Under 10-110

0.5u

Bet to -115

CHC +108

0.54u

Bet to +102

CHC +102 (F5)

0.51u

Bet to -102

Over 9.5-115

1.15u

CHC +107

1.07u

The Cardinals are 10-6 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Nico Hoerner is batting .284 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- 10th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Opponents are hitting .279 (160-for-573) on Adam Wainwright breaking pitches since last season -- fifth worst among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP-- fourth Percentile.

36% of Ian Happ strikeouts are looking this season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 48% of Adam Wainwright strikeouts are looking this season -- second highest among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP-- 99th Percentile.

Division opponents are hitting .403 (27-for-67) against Adam Wainwright this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .251 -- 0 Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 38-43 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Cardinals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 29th	CHC	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 9.5	CHC -161
Jul 27th	CHC	L 3-10	+1.5 L	O 9.5	CHC -120
Jul 26th	@ARI	W 11-7	+1.5 W	O 8.5	STL +131
Jul 26th	@ARI	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 9	ARI -110
Jul 25th	@ARI	W 10-6	+1.5 W	O 10	STL +140

Sonny Gray
P
Gray is out with arm
Out
Willson Contreras
C
Contreras is out with finger
Out

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Taillon, P	84	6	4	1
RM. Fulmer, P	17	1	0	0
RM.Leiter, P	28	0.2	0	0
RJ.Assad, P	2	0.1	0	0
RD.Palencia, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, CF	3-5	1	0	1
2N.Hoerner, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	1-3	1	1	2
4C.Bellinger, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5S.Suzuki, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6D.Swanson, SS	1-4	0	0	0
7C.Morel, DH	1-3	1	0	0
8Y.Gomes, C	1-4	1	1	2
9N.Madrigal, 3B	2-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA. Wainwright, P	87	6	3	4
RD. VerHagen, P	18	0.2	1	1
RA.Pallante, P	24	2.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Donovan, DH	1-5	1	0
2P.Goldschmidt, 1B	1-3	0	0
3L.Nootbaar, LF	1-2	0	1
4N.Arenado, 3B	0-3	0	0
5N.Gorman, 2B	0-2	0	0
6W.Contreras, C	1-3	0	0
7J.Walker, RF	1-4	0	0
8D.Carlson, CF	0-4	0	0
9P.DeJong, SS	0-3	0	0
9A.Burleson, PH	0-1	0	0