Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 26, 2024

Cubs at Cardinals

11:10 pm • ESPN

Chicago Cubs

3-0

3 - 4

St. Louis Cardinals

0-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Gray			3.84	13-9
J.Assad			3.74	7-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 3-0	+1.5-166	o8-116	+122
Cardinals 0-1	-1.5+140	u8-105	-146

Sunday 11:10 p.m.

May 26, 2024

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

STL -150 (F5)

Over 8-120

Over 8-115

1.15u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

CHC +122

Over 8-110

0.5u

Bet365 11:05.

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

Featured Insight
Cubs have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 31% of their games this season -- second lowest in MLB. The Cardinals have scored in at least three different innings in just 35% of their games this season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Cardinals have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in late innings this season -- third lowest in MLB (49 games). The Cubs have scored just 1.1 runs per game in late innings this season -- fourth lowest in MLB (51 games).

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Cubs vs. Cardinals: How to Bet the Over/Under
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The Cardinals are just 47-58 (.448) at home since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.

The Cubs are 26-22 (.542) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .427.

The Cubs are just 5-81 (.058) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.

Cody Bellinger struck out in 27% of PA's in the 2022 season -- 10th highest in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Ryan Helsley had a strikeout rate of 39% in the 2022 season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Nico Hoerner is slugging just .393 since the 2022 season -- tied for 11th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Sonny Gray has allowed a SLG of just .338 vs right-handed batters since the 2022 season -- 12th best among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP-- 90th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .113 (16-for-142) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .255 -- 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has walked 17 of 360 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season -- 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 87th Percentile.

Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .403 (197 PA's) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: .726 -- 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .137 (34 Total Bases / 249 ABs) on sliders since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .397 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 38-43 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Cardinals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 25th	CHC	W 7-6	+1.5 W	O 8.5	STL -115
May 22nd	BAL	W 5-4	+1.5 W	U 9	STL +110
May 22nd	BAL	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 9	STL +138
May 20th	BAL	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 8	STL -121
May 19th	BOS	L 3-11	+1.5 L	O 8.5	BOS +110

Sonny Gray
P
Gray is out with arm
Out
Willson Contreras
C
Contreras is out with finger
Out

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Assad, P	81	5	8	4
LD.Smyly, P	37	2	1	0
RP.Hodge, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, DH	2-5	0	0	0
2S.Suzuki, RF	1-5	0	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	1-4	0	0	0
4C.Morel, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5N.Hoerner, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
6I.Happ, LF	2-3	2	2	3
7D.Swanson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8P.Wisdom, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8M.Busch, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9Y.Gomes, C	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Madrigal, PH	1-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Gray, P	74	5	8	0
LJ.King, P	11	1	0	0
RA.Kittredge, P	25	1	1	2
LJ.Romero, P	11	1	0	0
RR.Helsley, P	16	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Donovan, LF	0-3	1	0	0
2A.Burleson, RF	2-4	1	0	0
2D.Carlson, RF	0-0	0	0	0
3P.Goldschmidt, 1B	2-4	2	2	4
4N.Arenado, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Carpenter, DH	0-2	0	0	0
6N.Gorman, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
7I.Herrera, C	0-4	0	0	0
8M.Winn, SS	1-3	0	0	0
9M.Siani, CF	0-4	0	0	0