Red Sox vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 19, 2024

Red Sox at Cardinals

5:05 pm • Roku

Boston Red Sox

12-8

11 - 3

St. Louis Cardinals

9-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Liberatore			4.39	3-4
N.Pivetta			4.14	6-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 12-8	-1.5+130	o8.5-109	-130
Cardinals 9-12	+1.5-155	u8.5-111	+110

Sunday 5:05 p.m.

May 19, 2024

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

BOS -130

0.77u

BOS -126

BOS -130

0.77u

Under 8.5-110

$1100.00

Over 8.5-110

1.5u

Over 4.5 (F5)-105

BOS -130

STL +100 (F5)

Under 8.5-105

0.53u

Bet to -118

M.Liberatore o9.5 Outs+105

He’s built up to 60 pitches and now on 5 days rest. Marmol said he’s in the rotation going forward, and the Cards bullpen has been used a good amount recently (with no day off til Thursday). If he’s a part of the rotation, they need to stretch him out more - so he should be at 70-75 pitches vs the Red Sox (which should get him at least through 4 IP). Sox have been average vs lefties all season (101 wRC+ vs lefties over the L30 days).

Featured Insight
The Red Sox have scored in at least three different innings in 54% of their games since last season -- fifth highest in MLB. Cardinals have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 56% of their games since last season -- third highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Cardinals have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in late innings this season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB (44 games). The Red Sox have scored just 0.9 runs per game in late innings this season -- second lowest in MLB (45 games).

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Red Sox vs. Cardinals: Back the Better Pitcher
Sean Paul•
May 19, 2024 UTC

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The Red Sox are just 44-59 (.427) after a loss since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.

Paul Goldschmidt has struck out in 33% of PA's this season -- 13th highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has a strikeout rate of 36% this season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Matthew Liberatore has allowed an OPS of just .033 (30 PA's) on non-fastballs this season -- best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .591 -- 100th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .175 (405 PA's) with two-strikes since last season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: .247 -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 38-43 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Cardinals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 18th	BOS	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 8.5	STL +100
May 18th	BOS	W 10-6	+1.5 W	O 8	STL -115
May 16th	@LAA	L 2-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	LAA -122
May 15th	@LAA	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 7	STL -142
May 14th	@LAA	W 10-5	-1.5 W	O 8.5	STL -117

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable

Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Pivetta, P	72	6	8	1
RG.Weissert, P	34	1	2	2
LC.Booser, P	11	1	2	0
RC.Martin, P	14	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	1-5	0	0	1
1J.Duran, CF	1-5	0	0	1
2R.Refsnyder, RF	1-5	0	0	0
2R.Refsnyder, LF	1-5	0	0	0
3T.O'Neill, DH	2-3	3	1	1
4R.Devers, 3B	1-3	2	1	2
4D.Hamilton, PH	1-1	1	1	1
4D.Hamilton, SS	1-1	1	1	1
5C.Wong, C	2-4	3	0	0
6G.Cooper, 1B	2-2	1	0	1
6W.Abreu, PH	2-3	0	0	1
6W.Abreu, RF	2-3	0	0	1
7R.Gonzalez, SS	1-2	0	0	1
7D.Smith, PH	1-3	0	0	3
7D.Smith, 1B	1-3	0	0	3
8V.Grissom, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	0-4	1	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	0-4	1	0	0
9C.Rafaela, 3B	0-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Liberatore, P	70	3	3	4
RC.Roycroft, P	36	1	0	3
RR.Fernandez, P	30	2	4	2
RN.Robertson, P	58	3	3	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Carpenter, DH	0-3	0	0	0
1I.Herrera, PH	0-1	0	0	0
1I.Herrera, DH	0-1	0	0	0
2L.Nootbaar, RF	1-4	1	1	1
2L.Nootbaar, CF	1-4	1	1	1
3P.Goldschmidt, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
4N.Arenado, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
4N.Gorman, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5A.Burleson, LF	1-4	0	0	0
6B.Donovan, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
7B.Crawford, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8P.Pages, C	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Siani, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9D.Carlson, PH	1-1	0	0	0
9D.Carlson, RF	1-1	0	0	0