Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - April 17, 2024

Cubs at Diamondbacks

7:40 pm • MARQ

Chicago Cubs

0-0

5 - 3

Arizona Diamondbacks

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Pfaadt			4.71	11-10
J.Wicks			5.48	2-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 0-0	+1.5-198	o9-110	+110
Diamondbacks 0-0	-1.5+164	u9-110	-130

Wednesday 7:40 p.m.

April 17, 2024

Chase FieldPhoenix

ARI -2.5+255

0.15u

ARI -125

0.75u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/cubs-vs-diamondbacks-pick-today-mlb-odds-predictions-april-17

B.Pfaadt u6.5 Ks-155

0.71u

Under 9-105

0.95u

... good strikeout pitchers take the under Overall: 304-212-16,59% (ROI:13%) Season:4-4-0,50% (ROI:-5%)

ARI -123

1.85u

D-Backs more like D-Coin Respecters

Over 9-106

0.53u

Bet to -115

ARI -125 (F5)

1.25u

ARI -118

1.18u

ARI -115

0.58u

Bet to -121

ARI -110 (F5)

0.55u

Bet to -128

ARI +0.5 (F5)-140

0.25u

Bet to -163 or bump ML wager up at -117 or better.

Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored 2.9 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- fifth highest in MLB (178 games). The Diamondbacks have allowed 2.7 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- tied for eighth highest in MLB (179 games).

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Featured Insight
Diamondbacks hitters have a groundball rate of 48% this season -- second highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Cubs this season -- sixth lowest in MLB.

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The Cubs are 28-4 (.875) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Cody Bellinger had an OPS of .881 last season -- 12th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Bryan Hoeing allowed an OPS of .826 (304 PAs) last season -- 14th worst among qualified RPs-- sixth Percentile.

Michael Busch has an OPS of 1.073 this season -- eighth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Brandon Pfaadt has allowed an OPS of .853 (74 PAs) this season -- 10th worst among qualified SPs-- 11th Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 2 of Jordan Wicks' 25 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 8%) this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 33% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 50 of Diamondbacks' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 17th	CHC	W 12-11	-1.5 L	O 10	ARI -120
Apr 16th	CHC	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 9	CHC -155
Apr 14th	STL	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ARI -142
Apr 14th	STL	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 10.5	ARI -118
Apr 13th	STL	L 6-9	-1.5 L	O 9.5	STL -124

Ryne Nelson
P
Nelson is out with shoulder
Out

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Wicks, P	74	4.1	5	2
RH.Wesneski, P	43	4	2	0
LD.Smyly, P	11	0.2	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Happ, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	2-5	1	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	2-4	2	1	1
4C.Morel, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
4N.Madrigal, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
5M.Busch, 1B	2-4	0	0	1
6N.Hoerner, 2B	0-4	1	0	0
7M.Tauchman, RF	2-4	1	0	1
8Y.Gomes, C	1-4	0	0	1
9M.Mastrobuoni, LF	0-4	0	0	0
9A.Canario, LF	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Pfaadt, P	94	7	6	2
LJ.Mantiply, P	14	0.1	0	2
RJ.Martinez, P	24	1.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Marte, 2B	3-4	1	1	2
2C.Carroll, CF	0-2	0	0	0
3L.Gurriel, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5E.Suarez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6R.Grichuk, RF	1-4	0	0	0
7B.Alexander, DH	1-2	0	0	0
7J.Pederson, PH	1-2	1	1	1
7J.Pederson, DH	1-2	1	1	1
8T.Barnhart, C	1-3	1	0	0
8G.Moreno, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9K.Newman, SS	0-2	0	0	0
9J. Peterson, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9J. Peterson, SS	0-2	0	0	0