Cubs vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 2, 2024

Cubs at Mets

5:10 pm • SNY

Chicago Cubs

11-5

6 - 7

New York Mets

8-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Houser			5.84	1-5
B.Brown			3.58	1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 11-5	-1.5+164	o8-115	-105
Mets 8-10	+1.5-196	u8-105	-115

Thursday 5:10 p.m.

May 02, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

A.Houser o1.5 BB-130

0.77u

A.Houser o1.5 BB-130

0.5u

#Tailing @PropBetGuy

A.Houser o1.5 BB-130

Houser with 2+ walks in each start this season (5/5) - 16 BB in 23.2 IP. His 60% strike% ranks 111th/126 qualifiers, and the Cubs rank 9th in BB% vs righties, and have the 10th lowest chase rate. 17/L24 righty starters over this line vs CHC. Ok to play at -145 on DK as well.

Over 4.5 (F5)-110

CHC -110 (F5)

0.5u

CHC +100

Under 8.5-110

... home team went under by 5 and now home team is fav or slight dogs Overall: 432-265-33,62% (ROI:19%) Season:3-0-0,100% (ROI:100%) ... under when home team shutout Overall: 412-290-40,59% (ROI:13%) Season:1-0-0,100% (ROI:92%)

CHC -105 (F5)

0.5u

#Tailing @Zerillo

CHC -105 (F5)

0.5u

Need -105 or better

Featured Insight
The Cubs have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games this season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB. The Mets have scored first in just 34% of their games this season -- second lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets have struck out just 20% over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest in MLB. Cubs have a strikeout rate of just 18% over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Large Wagers Hitting Cubs vs. Mets
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May 2, 2024 UTC
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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Thursday
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The Mets are just 8-43 (.157) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

32% of Ian Happ strikeouts are looking since last season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 90th Percentile. 37% of Hoby Milner strikeouts are looking since last season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Ben Brown has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 96.0 MPH (64 batted balls) this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 89.0 -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 75% (30/40) against Ben Brown on fastballs this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 46% -- 0 Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 37% of Adrian Houser's breaking pitches (388/1,041) since the 2022 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 47% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 1st	CHC	L 0-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CHC +102
Apr 30th	CHC	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 7	NYM -122
Apr 29th	CHC	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 7	CHC -146
Apr 28th	STL	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8	NYM -140
Apr 27th	STL	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 7.5	STL +115

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Nico Hoerner
IF
Hoerner is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Brown, P	89	4.2	5	2
RK.Thompson, P	21	1	2	1
LR.Lovelady, P	22	1.1	2	0
RY.Almonte, P	12	1	0	0
RH.Neris, P	11	1	1	0
RD.Palencia, P	13	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, SS	1-4	1	0	0
2M.Tauchman, RF	1-5	0	0	0
2M.Tauchman, CF	1-5	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	0-3	1	0	0
4C.Morel, 3B	1-4	1	1	3
5M.Busch, 1B	2-5	1	0	0
6P.Wisdom, DH	1-4	2	0	0
7N.Madrigal, 2B	1-5	0	0	1
8P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	2-4	0	0	2
8D.Swanson, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8A.Canario, RF	0-0	0	0	0
9Y.Gomes, C	0-5	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Houser, P	82	5	2	4
RD.Nunez, P	16	1	1	1
LJ.Diekman, P	22	1	2	0
RR.Garrett, P	23	1	0	0
RE.Diaz, P	24	2	2	0
LD.Young, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	2-4	0	2
2S.Marte, RF	1-5	0	1
3D.Stewart, DH	0-1	0	0
3J.Martinez, PH	1-2	0	0
3J.Martinez, DH	1-2	0	0
3T.Taylor, PR	0-0	0	0
3T.Taylor, DH	0-0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-5	0	0
5J.McNeil, 2B	0-5	1	0
6B.Baty, 3B	0-3	2	0
7H.Bader, CF	2-4	3	0
8J.Wendle, SS	0-2	0	0
8F.Lindor, PH	2-3	1	4
8F.Lindor, SS	2-3	1	4
9O.Narvaez, C	0-4	0	0