Diamondbacks vs. Angels Odds & Betting Predictions - July 2, 2023

MGM. Under in 8/14 this season, incl 4/5 at home. Consistently below average all season, with a 5+ ERA each month so far. His ground ball rate has cratered - and the DBacks are excellent vs fly ball pitchers (.275 avg and an .816 OPS). ARI is above average in wRC vs Anderson’s three main pitches (4-seamer, change and cutter). And over the last month, the DBacks have taken a much more patient approach at the plate (6th lowest chase rate, 5th lowest swing rate overall). And Anderson can get wild - 63.9% strike rate (38th percentile) and 9.9% walk rate (29th percentile). The risk here is Anderson’s leash. But Nevin let Canning run up his pitch count last night to reset the bullpen, with the higher leverage guys in decent shape tonight. After a loss, feels like Anderson won’t have that leash tonight.