Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - September 8, 2023

Diamondbacks at Cubs

6:20 pm • MLB Network

Arizona Diamondbacks

9-10

1 - 0

Chicago Cubs

11-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Taillon			4.84	8-10
Z.Gallen			3.47	17-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 9-10	-1.5+145	o7-120	-120
Cubs 11-5	+1.5-175	u7-102	+100

Friday 6:20 p.m.

September 08, 2023

Wrigley FieldChicago

ARI -120

ARI -113

Cheap line found at local

ARI -114

$0.88

Featured Insight
The Diamondbacks have answered-back in 34% of innings after an opponent scores since last season -- tied for eighth-highest in MLB. Cubs have allowed a run 32% of the time after an opposing score since last season -- 10th-highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored 1.7 runs per game in late innings over the last two weeks -- tied for second-highest in MLB (154 games). The Diamondbacks have allowed 1.4 runs per game in late innings over the last two weeks -- tied for ninth-highest in MLB (153 games).

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MLB NRFI Model Picks For Friday
Billy Ward•
Sep 8, 2023 UTC
MLB NRFI for Friday: Bet Gallen & Kirby
Shayne Trail•
Sep 8, 2023 UTC
60% System Pick for Cubs-Diamondbacks
Alex Kolodziej•
Sep 8, 2023 UTC
Diamondbacks vs. Cubs: Bet Gallen, D'backs in Chicago
D.J. James•
Sep 8, 2023 UTC

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The Cubs are 17-13 (.567) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

78% of non-fastball strikeouts for Cody Bellinger are located out of the zone this season -- eighth highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. 80% of Zac Gallen non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery had a strike rate of just 62% (531/850) in two strike counts in 2022 -- 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% -- eighth Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has thrown breaking pitches 51% of the time (1,096/2,136) since last season -- highest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 7th	ARI	L 2-6	-1.5 L	U 8.5	ARI -165
Sep 6th	SF	W 8-2	-1.5 W	U 11	CHC -151
Sep 5th	SF	W 11-8	-1.5 W	O 10.5	CHC -125
Sep 4th	SF	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	CHC -130
Sep 3rd	@CIN	W 15-7	-1.5 W	O 10	CHC -150

Nico Hoerner
IF
Hoerner is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Gallen, P		107	9	9	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Carroll, RF	2-3	0	1
2K.Marte, 2B	0-4	0	0
3T.Pham, DH	0-4	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	0-4	0	0
5A.Thomas, CF	1-4	0	0
6L.Gurriel, LF	1-4	1	0
7G.Moreno, C	0-2	0	0
8J.Lawlar, SS	0-3	0	0
8E.Rivera, 3B	0-0	0	0
9G.Perdomo, 3B	0-3	0	0
9G.Perdomo, SS	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Taillon, P	77	6	9	0
RJ.Merryweather, P	13	1	3	0
RJ.Cuas, P	10	0.1	1	1
RM.Leiter, P	8	0.2	1	0
RA.Alzolay, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2N.Hoerner, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Bellinger, CF	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Swanson, SS	0-3	0	0	0
6S.Suzuki, RF	2-3	0	0	0
7J.Candelario, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Mastrobuoni, PR	0-0	0	0	0
7P.Wisdom, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
8N.Madrigal, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	0-2	0	0	0
9Y.Gomes, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9Y.Gomes, C	0-1	0	0	0